2026 midterms · November 3
Who’s on the 2026 midterm ballot
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All 513 House, Senate and governor races on the November 3 ballot and the 1439 candidates we have on file. On election night, results appear here race by race as AP or official sources call them, with which winners the pro-Israel PACs backed.
Next to a Democrat in Congress, $ backing is their backing from the pro-Israel PACs we track, 2016–2026 (contributions plus outside spending for them); $0 backing means none. Tap a name for each PAC by year, with FEC links.
Which members of Congress are backed by AIPAC? See the list →
In a general election against a Republican, we want the Democrat to win, every time. Donate and Volunteer buttons appear for 19 nominees we chose to feature, none of them backed by the pro-Israel PACs we track (why that matters); where this comes from.
DSA-endorsed on the ballot 10
- Angela Gonzales-TorresDSA
California 34 
Mai VangDSA
California 7
Melat KirosDSA
Colorado 1- Lauren JewettDSA
Louisiana 1 
Donavan McKinneyDSA
Michigan 13
Rashida TlaibDSA
Michigan 12
Darializa Avila ChevalierDSA
New York 13
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezDSA
New York 14
Claire ValdezDSA
New York 7
Chris RabbDSA
Pennsylvania 3
Every DSA-endorsed candidate, with their money and sources → Endorsed by national DSA or a chapter, each with a source; a record, not our endorsement.
Toss-ups: 2026 midterm predictions 19
Races seven nonpartisan forecasters rate a Toss-up on average: our midterm predictions are their ratings, averaged, not our own. Open “Each forecaster” for every rating and its date; where this comes from links each forecaster’s own pages.
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida 22 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Tilt R Each forecaster for Florida 22
|  Pia Dandiya | Casey Askar | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Lois Frankel (D) |
| Georgia governor | Toss-up Average of 5; Lean D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Georgia governor
|  Keisha Lance Bottoms | Rick Jackson | No one else listed | Open seat · Runoff if no majority · Now held by Brian Kemp (R) |
| Iowa Senate | Toss-up Average of 7; Toss-up to Lean R Each forecaster for Iowa Senate
| Ashley Hinson | Thomas Laehn (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Joni Ernst (R) | |
| Iowa 2 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Iowa 2
|  Lindsay James | Joe Mitchell | Rick Stewart (Libertarian) Dave Bushaw (Independent) | Open seat · Now held by Ashley Hinson (R) |
| Kansas Senate | Toss-up Average of 7; Toss-up to Lean R Each forecaster for Kansas Senate
| Roger Marshall (inc.) | David Graham (Libertarian) | Now held by Roger Marshall (R) | |
| Maine Senate | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Maine Senate
| Susan Collins (inc.) | No one else listed | Ranked-choice · Now held by Susan Collins (R) | |
| Michigan 4 | Toss-up Average of 7; Toss-up to Lean R Each forecaster for Michigan 4
| Sean McCann | Bill Huizenga (inc.) | Shafina Barnett (Green) | |
| Michigan 10 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Tilt R Each forecaster for Michigan 10
| Christina Hines | Michael Bouchard Jr. | Kwabena Nkromo (Green) Mike Saliba (Libertarian) Andrea Kirby (Working Class Party) | Open seat · Now held by John James (R) |
| North Carolina 1 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up Each forecaster for North Carolina 1
| Don Davis (inc.) | Laurie Buckhout | Tom Bailey (Libertarian) | |
| North Carolina 11 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up Each forecaster for North Carolina 11
| Jamie Ager | Jennifer Balkcom | Travis Groo (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Chuck Edwards (R) |
| Nevada governor | Toss-up Average of 5; Toss-up to Tilt R Each forecaster for Nevada governor
|  Aaron Ford | Joe Lombardo (inc.) | Danielle Ford (No Political Party) | Now held by Joe Lombardo (R) |
| New York 17 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up Each forecaster for New York 17
|  Cait Conley | Mike Lawler (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Ohio Senate (special) | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Ohio Senate (special)
| Jon Husted (inc.) | Bill Redpath (Libertarian) Gregory Levy (Independent) | Now held by Jon Husted (R) | |
| Ohio 7 | Toss-up Average of 7; all agree Each forecaster for Ohio 7
| Brian Poindexter | Max Miller (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Pennsylvania 8 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Pennsylvania 8
|  Paige Cognetti | Rob Bresnahan (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas Senate | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Texas Senate
| Ken Paxton | Ted Brown (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by John Cornyn (R) | |
| Texas 15 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Lean R Each forecaster for Texas 15
|  Bobby Pulido | Monica De La Cruz (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 35 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Lean R Each forecaster for Texas 35
| Johnny Garcia | Carlos De La Cruz | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Greg Casar (D) |
| Virginia 1 | Toss-up Average of 7; Toss-up to Lean R Each forecaster for Virginia 1
| Shannon Taylor | Rob Wittman (inc.) | No one else listed |
Show 92 more races to watch rated Lean or Likely
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Senate | Lean D Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Alaska Senate
| Dan Sullivan (inc.) Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. (Republican, no relation to the incumbent) Gerald Heikes | No one else listed | Ranked-choice · Now held by Dan Sullivan (R) | |
| Alaska governor | Lean D Average of 5; Likely D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Alaska governor
|  Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | Bernadette Wilson Dave Bronson Treg Taylor | No one else listed | Open seat · Ranked-choice · Now held by Mike Dunleavy (R) |
| Arizona governor | Lean D Average of 5; Likely D to Tilt D Each forecaster for Arizona governor
| Andy Biggs | Risa Lombardo (Green) Teri Hourihan (Arizona Independent Party) | Now held by Katie Hobbs (D) | |
| Arizona 1 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Tilt D Each forecaster for Arizona 1
|  Amish Shah | Jay Feely | Monica Alponte (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by David Schweikert (R) |
| Arizona 6 | Lean D Average of 7; Solid D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Arizona 6
|  JoAnna Mendoza | Juan Ciscomani (inc.) | Gary Swing (Green) Jereme Peters (Libertarian) | |
| California 22 | Lean D Average of 7; Solid D to Toss-up Each forecaster for California 22
| David Valadao (inc.) | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| Colorado 8 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Colorado 8
|  Manny Rutinel | Gabe Evans (inc.) | David Wood (Libertarian) | |
| Florida 14 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Florida 14
| Mike Beltran | Brian Lambert (Libertarian) | ||
| Florida 25 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Florida 25
| Scott Singer | Peter Jassenoff (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) | |
| Iowa governor | Lean D Average of 5; Likely D to Tilt D Each forecaster for Iowa governor
|  Rob Sand | Zach Lahn | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Kim Reynolds (R) |
| Iowa 1 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Tilt D Each forecaster for Iowa 1
|  Christina Bohannan | Mariannette Miller-Meeks (inc.) | Michael Bridgford (Independent) | |
| Iowa 3 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Tilt D Each forecaster for Iowa 3
|  Sarah Trone Garriott | Zach Nunn (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Michigan Senate | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Michigan Senate
| Mike Rogers | Douglas P. Marsh (Green) Lydia Christensen (Libertarian) Walter Kristy (Natural Law Party in Michigan) Timothy Long (U.S. Taxpayers Party) | Open seat · Now held by Gary Peters (D) · 24/48-hour notices: United Democracy Project reported $94,620 against Abdul El-Sayed (D) | |
| Michigan governor | Lean D Average of 5; Likely D to Tilt D Each forecaster for Michigan governor
|  Jocelyn Benson | John James | Douglas Campbell (Green) Anthony Hudson (Libertarian) Donna Brandenburg (U.S. Taxpayers Party) | Open seat · Now held by Gretchen Whitmer (D) |
| Michigan 7 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Michigan 7
|  William Lawrence | Tom Barrett (inc.) | Shane Dedrick (Green) | |
| Minnesota Senate | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Lean D Each forecaster for Minnesota Senate
| Michele Tafoya | Rebecca Whiting (Libertarian) Marisa Simonetti (Unaffiliated) | Open seat · Now held by Tina Smith (D) | |
| New Jersey 7 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Tilt D Each forecaster for New Jersey 7
| Rebecca Bennett | Thomas Kean Jr. (inc.) | Seamus Patrick O'Toole (Stop Israel's Genocide) | |
| Ohio governor | Lean D Average of 5; Likely D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Ohio governor
|  Amy Acton | Vivek Ramaswamy | Don Kissick (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Mike DeWine (R) |
| Ohio 9 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Ohio 9
| Derek Merrin | No one else listed | ||
| Oregon governor | Lean D Average of 5; Likely D to Lean D Each forecaster for Oregon governor
| Christine Drazan | Brett Smith (Pacific Green Party of Oregon) | Now held by Tina Kotek (D) | |
| Pennsylvania 7 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Tilt D Each forecaster for Pennsylvania 7
| Bob Brooks | Ryan Mackenzie (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Pennsylvania 10 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Pennsylvania 10
| Janelle Stelson | Scott Perry (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 28 | Lean D Average of 7; Solid D to Tilt D Each forecaster for Texas 28
| Tano Tijerina | Marlon Duran (Green) | ||
| Texas 34 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Texas 34
| Eric Flores | Eddie Espinoza (Green) Chris Royal (Libertarian) | ||
| Virginia 2 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Virginia 2
|  Elaine Luria | Jen Kiggans (inc.) | J. Matt Baker (Independent) Bishop Staten (Independent) | 24/48-hour notices: DMFI PAC reported $900,000 against Jen Kiggans (R) |
| Washington 3 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Washington 3
| John Braun | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| Wisconsin governor | Lean D Average of 5; Lean D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Wisconsin governor
|  David Crowley | Tom Tiffany | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Tony Evers (D) |
| Wisconsin 3 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Wisconsin 3
|  Rebecca Cooke | Derrick Van Orden (inc.) | Alexander Valiensi Kent (Independent) Rustin Provance (Independent) | |
| Alabama 2 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R Each forecaster for Alabama 2
| Rhett Marques | No one else listed | ||
| Arizona 2 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R Each forecaster for Arizona 2
|  Jonathan Nez | Eli Crane (inc.) | Curtis Goodwin (Libertarian) | |
| Colorado 5 | Lean R Average of 7; Tilt R to Likely R Each forecaster for Colorado 5
| Jessica Killin | Jeff Crank (inc.) | Christopher Mitchell (American Constitution Party) Mark Elworth Jr. (Libertarian) | |
| Florida governor | Lean R Average of 5; all agree Each forecaster for Florida governor
|  David Jolly | Byron Donalds | Charles Burkett (Independent) Scott Jewett (Libertarian) Dean Abrams (No Party Affiliation) Jeffrey Datto (No Party Affiliation) Moliere Dimanche (No Party Affiliation) Frank Russo (No Party Affiliation) | Open seat · Now held by Ron DeSantis (R) |
| Florida 7 | Lean R Average of 7; Lean D to Likely R Each forecaster for Florida 7
|  Bale Dalton | Ryan Elijah | Christopher Dennison (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Cory Mills (R) |
| Florida 9 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R Each forecaster for Florida 9
| Dan Green | No one else listed | ||
| Florida 13 | Lean R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R Each forecaster for Florida 13
|  Leela Gray | Anna Paulina Luna (inc.) | Tony D'Arrigo (No Party Affiliation) | |
| Kansas governor | Lean R Average of 5; Tilt R to Lean R Each forecaster for Kansas governor
|  Cindy Holscher | Ty Masterson | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Laura Kelly (D) |
| Kentucky 6 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R Each forecaster for Kentucky 6
| Zach Dembo | Ralph Alvarado | Pete Lynch (Kentucky Party) Jay Bowman (Independent) | Open seat · Now held by Andy Barr (R) |
| Maine 2 | Lean R Average of 7; Lean D to Lean R Each forecaster for Maine 2
| Matthew Dunlap | Paul LePage | No one else listed | Open seat · Ranked-choice · Now held by Jared Golden (D) |
| Minnesota 1 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R Each forecaster for Minnesota 1
| Jake Johnson | Brad Finstad (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Montana 1 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Lean R Each forecaster for Montana 1
|  Sam Forstag | Aaron Flint | Nick Sheedy (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Ryan Zinke (R) |
| Nebraska Senate | Lean R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R Each forecaster for Nebraska Senate
| Dan Osborn (Independent, endorsed by the Nebraska Democratic Party) | Pete Ricketts (inc.) | Chuck Conboy (America First Party Nebraska) Mike Marvin (Legal Marijuana Now Party) Robin Richards (Nebraska Working People Party) | Now held by Pete Ricketts (R) · The Democratic nominee, Cindy Burbank, withdrew in July 2026. The Nebraska Democratic Party endorsed independent Dan Osborn. |
| Nevada 2 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R Each forecaster for Nevada 2
| Teresa Benitez-Thompson | David Flippo | Lynn Chapman (Independent American) | Open seat · Now held by Mark Amodei (R) |
| New York 21 | Lean R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R Each forecaster for New York 21
| Blake Gendebien | Anthony Constantino | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Elise Stefanik (R) |
| Pennsylvania 1 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Lean R Each forecaster for Pennsylvania 1
|  Bob Harvie | Brian Fitzpatrick (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| South Carolina Senate | Lean R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R Each forecaster for South Carolina Senate
| Darline Graham (inc.) | Mark Hackett (Constitution Party) Kasie Whitener (Libertarian) | Now held by Darline Graham (R) | |
| South Carolina 1 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R Each forecaster for South Carolina 1
|  Nancy Lacore | Jenny Costa Honeycutt | Bill Reeside (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Nancy Mace (R) |
| Texas governor | Lean R Average of 5; all agree Each forecaster for Texas governor
|  Gina Hinojosa | Greg Abbott (inc.) | Pat Dixon (Libertarian) | Now held by Greg Abbott (R) |
| Texas 23 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R Each forecaster for Texas 23
|  Katy Padilla Stout | Brandon Herrera | Ben Mendoza (Independent) | Open seat |
| Wisconsin 1 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R Each forecaster for Wisconsin 1
| Mitchell Berman | Bryan Steil (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| California 13 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Tilt D Each forecaster for California 13
| Kevin Lincoln | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 45 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D Each forecaster for California 45
| Chuong Vo | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 48 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Tilt D Each forecaster for California 48
|  Marni von Wilpert | Jim Desmond | No one else listed | Open seat · Top-two · Now held by Darrell Issa (R) |
| Georgia Senate | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Lean D Each forecaster for Georgia Senate
| Mike Collins | No one else listed | Runoff if no majority · Now held by Jon Ossoff (D) | |
| North Carolina Senate | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Lean D Each forecaster for North Carolina Senate
| Michael Whatley | Michael Dublin (Green) Shannon Bray (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Thom Tillis (R) | |
| Nebraska 2 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Lean D Each forecaster for Nebraska 2
| Denise Powell | Brinker Harding | Eric Michael Foreman (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Don Bacon (R) |
| New Hampshire Senate | Likely D Average of 7; Likely D to Tilt D Each forecaster for New Hampshire Senate
| John E. Sununu | Edmond LaPlante (Constitution Party) | Open seat · Now held by Jeanne Shaheen (D) | |
| New Hampshire 1 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Lean D Each forecaster for New Hampshire 1
| Stefany Shaheen | Anthony DiLorenzo | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Chris Pappas (D) |
| New Mexico 2 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Tilt D Each forecaster for New Mexico 2
| Greg Cunningham | No one else listed | ||
| Nevada 1 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Lean D Each forecaster for Nevada 1
| Carrie Buck | Bobby Khan (Independent) Steven St. John (Independent) | ||
| Nevada 3 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Lean D Each forecaster for Nevada 3
| Martin O'Donnell | Jon Kamerath (Independent American) | ||
| Nevada 4 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D Each forecaster for Nevada 4
| Cody Whipple | Russell Best (Independent American) William Johnson (Independent) | ||
| New York 3 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Lean D Each forecaster for New York 3
| Mike LiPetri | No one else listed | ||
| New York 4 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Tilt D Each forecaster for New York 4
| Jeanine Driscoll | Blay Tarnoff (Libertarian Party) | ||
| Ohio 1 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Tilt D Each forecaster for Ohio 1
| Eric Conroy | Nathan Weise (Libertarian) | ||
| Virginia 7 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D Each forecaster for Virginia 7
| Eugene Vindman (inc.) | Doug Ollivant | Randall Terry (Independent) Taner Demirci Lopez (Libertarian) Alaha Ahrar (Independent) Joshua Ertle (Independent) | |
| Alaska at-large | Likely R Average of 7; all agree Each forecaster for Alaska at-large
| Eric Hafner | Nick Begich III (inc.) | Bill Hill (Independent) Jim McDermott (Libertarian) | Ranked-choice |
| Arkansas 2 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R Each forecaster for Arkansas 2
|  Chris Jones | French Hill (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Arizona 8 | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R Each forecaster for Arizona 8
| Bernadette Greene-Placentia | Abraham Hamadeh (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Colorado 3 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R Each forecaster for Colorado 3
|  Dwayne Romero | Jeff Hurd (inc.) | Clifton Brown (Independent) Cory Robertson (Libertarian) | |
| Colorado 4 | Likely R Average of 7; Toss-up to Solid R Each forecaster for Colorado 4
|  Eileen Laubacher | Lauren Boebert (inc.) | Douglas Mangeris (Libertarian) | |
| Florida Senate (special) | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R Each forecaster for Florida Senate (special)
| Ashley Moody (inc.) | Neil Gillespie (No Party Affiliation) | Now held by Ashley Moody (R) | |
| Florida 2 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Solid R Each forecaster for Florida 2
| Amanda Green | Austin Rogers | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Neal Dunn (R) |
| Florida 4 | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R Each forecaster for Florida 4
| LaShonda Holloway | Aaron Bean (inc.) | Mike Sell (Florida Forward) Todd Schaefer (No Party Affiliation) | |
| Florida 16 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R Each forecaster for Florida 16
| Kelly Kirschner | Sydney Gruters | Mark Davis (No Party Affiliation) | Open seat · Now held by Vern Buchanan (R) |
| Florida 27 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R Each forecaster for Florida 27
| Eliott Rodriguez | Maria Elvira Salazar (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Indiana 5 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R Each forecaster for Indiana 5
|  J.D. Ford | Victoria Spartz (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Kansas 2 | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R Each forecaster for Kansas 2
| Don Coover | Derek Schmidt (inc.) | John Hauer (Libertarian) | |
| Missouri 2 | Likely R Average of 7; Toss-up to Solid R Each forecaster for Missouri 2
|  Fred Wellman | Ann Wagner (inc.) | Brandon Daugherty (Libertarian) | |
| Mississippi Senate | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R Each forecaster for Mississippi Senate
| Cindy Hyde-Smith (inc.) | Ty Pinkins (Independent) | Now held by Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) | |
| North Carolina 3 | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R Each forecaster for North Carolina 3
|  Raymond Smith Jr. | Greg Murphy (inc.) | Daniel Cavender (Libertarian) | |
| North Carolina 9 | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R Each forecaster for North Carolina 9
|  Richard Ojeda | Richard Hudson (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Nebraska governor | Likely R Average of 5; all agree Each forecaster for Nebraska governor
| Lynne Walz | Jim Pillen (inc.) | Brett Lindstrom (America First) Rick Beard (Legal Marijuana NOW) | Now held by Jim Pillen (R) |
| Nebraska 1 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R Each forecaster for Nebraska 1
|  Chris Backemeyer | Mike Flood (inc.) | Nik Sandman (Libertarian) Dan Hartong (America First) | |
| New Hampshire governor | Likely R Average of 5; Lean R to Solid R Each forecaster for New Hampshire governor
| Cinde Warmington | Kelly Ayotte (inc.) | Stephen Villee (Libertarian Party) | Now held by Kelly Ayotte (R) |
| New Jersey 2 | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R Each forecaster for New Jersey 2
| Zack Mullock | Jeff Van Drew (inc.) | Ramon Mora Jr. (Independent) | |
| New York 1 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Solid R Each forecaster for New York 1
| Chris Gallant | Nick LaLota (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Ohio 10 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Solid R Each forecaster for Ohio 10
| Kristina Knickerbocker | Mike Turner (inc.) | Thomas McMasters (Libertarian) | |
| Ohio 15 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R Each forecaster for Ohio 15
| Don Leonard | Mike Carey (inc.) | Brennan Barrington (Libertarian) | |
| Oklahoma governor | Likely R Average of 5; Likely R to Solid R Each forecaster for Oklahoma governor
|  Cyndi Munson | Mike Mazzei | Robert Brooks (Independent) Orlando Lynn Bush (Independent) Jerry Griffin (Independent) | Open seat · Now held by Kevin Stitt (R) |
| Texas 9 | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R Each forecaster for Texas 9
| Leticia Gutierrez | Alex Mealer | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Al Green (D) |
| Virginia 5 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R Each forecaster for Virginia 5
|  Tom Perriello | John McGuire (inc.) | Cooke Harvey (Independent) | |
| Vermont governor | Likely R Average of 5; Lean R to Likely R Each forecaster for Vermont governor
| Amanda Janoo | Phil Scott (inc.) | Dean Roy (Freedom and Unity Party) June Goodband (Green Mountain Peace and Justice Party of Vermont) Brian Judd (Independent) | Now held by Phil Scott (R) |
Every race, by state 513
35 Senate, 38 governor and 440 House races. Open a state to see its candidates; each state also links its Democratic party.
Alabama Senate · Governor · 7 House seats
How to vote in Alabama: check your registration on Alabama’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Alabama
Alabama’s 2026 ballot page · Alabama Senate race 2026 · Alabama governor race 2026
Which Alabama Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Senate | Solid R Average of 7; all agree | Barry Moore | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Tommy Tuberville (R) | |
| Alabama governor | Solid R Average of 5; Likely R to Solid R |  Doug Jones | Tommy Tuberville | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Kay Ivey (R) |
| Alabama 1 | Solid R Average of 6; all agree | Clyde Jones | Jerry Carl | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Barry Moore (R) |
| Alabama 2 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R | Rhett Marques | No one else listed | ||
| Alabama 3 | Solid R Average of 6; all agree | Lee McInnis | Mike Rogers (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Alabama 4 | Solid R Average of 6; all agree | Amanda Pusczek | Robert Aderholt (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Alabama 5 | Solid R Average of 6; all agree | Andrew Sneed | Dale Strong (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Alabama 6 | Solid R Average of 6; all agree | Maurice Mercer | Gary Palmer (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Alabama 7 | Solid D Average of 6; all agree | Ammie Akin | No one else listed |
Help Democrats across Alabama: Alabama Democratic Party · See it on the map (Alabama)
Alaska Senate · Governor · 1 House seat
How to vote in Alaska: check your registration on Alaska’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Alaska
Alaska’s 2026 ballot page · Alaska Senate race 2026 · Alaska governor race 2026
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Senate | Lean D Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up | Dan Sullivan (inc.) Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. (Republican, no relation to the incumbent) Gerald Heikes | No one else listed | Ranked-choice · Now held by Dan Sullivan (R) | |
| Alaska governor | Lean D Average of 5; Likely D to Toss-up | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | Bernadette Wilson Dave Bronson Treg Taylor | No one else listed | Open seat · Ranked-choice · Now held by Mike Dunleavy (R) |
| Alaska at-large | Likely R Average of 7; all agree | Eric Hafner | Nick Begich III (inc.) | Bill Hill (Independent) Jim McDermott (Libertarian) | Ranked-choice |
Help Democrats across Alaska: Alaska Democratic Party · See it on the map (Alaska)
American Samoa 1 House seat
How to vote in American Samoa: check your registration on American Samoa’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for American Samoa
American Samoa’s 2026 ballot page
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Samoa at-large | No rating | Sandra King-Young | Amata Coleman Radewagen (inc.) | Rosie Tago Lancaster (Independent) Meleagi Suitonu-Chapman (Independent) Samana Semo Veavea (Independent) Afu Lefaoseu (Independent) |
Help Democrats across American Samoa: American Samoa Democratic Party · See it on the map (American Samoa)
Arizona Governor · 9 House seats
How to vote in Arizona: check your registration on Arizona’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Arizona
Arizona’s 2026 ballot page · Arizona governor race 2026
Which Arizona Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona governor | Lean D Average of 5; Likely D to Tilt D | Andy Biggs | Risa Lombardo (Green) Teri Hourihan (Arizona Independent Party) | Now held by Katie Hobbs (D) | |
| Arizona 1 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Tilt D | Amish Shah | Jay Feely | Monica Alponte (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by David Schweikert (R) |
| Arizona 2 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R | Jonathan Nez | Eli Crane (inc.) | Curtis Goodwin (Libertarian) | |
| Arizona 3 | Solid D Average of 6; all agree | No Republican on the ballot | Alan Aversa (Arizona Independent Party) David Redkey (Green) | ||
| Arizona 4 | Solid D Average of 6; all agree | Zuhdi Jasser | Tisha Benoit (Arizona Independent Party) | ||
| Arizona 5 | Solid R Average of 7; Lean R to Solid R | Elizabeth Lee | Mark Lamb | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Andy Biggs (R) |
| Arizona 6 | Lean D Average of 7; Solid D to Toss-up | JoAnna Mendoza | Juan Ciscomani (inc.) | Gary Swing (Green) Jereme Peters (Libertarian) | |
| Arizona 7 | Solid D Average of 6; all agree | Adelita Grijalva (inc.) | Daniel Butierez | No one else listed | |
| Arizona 8 | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Bernadette Greene-Placentia | Abraham Hamadeh (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Arizona 9 | Solid R Average of 6; all agree | Dani Sterbinsky | Paul Gosar (inc.) | No one else listed |
Help Democrats across Arizona: Arizona Democratic Party · See it on the map (Arizona)
Arkansas Senate · Governor · 4 House seats
How to vote in Arkansas: check your registration on Arkansas’ election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Arkansas
Arkansas’ 2026 ballot page · Arkansas Senate race 2026 · Arkansas governor race 2026
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas Senate | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Tom Cotton (inc.) | Jeff Wadlin (Libertarian) | Now held by Tom Cotton (R) | |
| Arkansas governor | Solid R Average of 5; all agree |  Fredrick Love | Sarah Huckabee Sanders (inc.) | Colt Shelby (Libertarian) | Now held by Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) |
| Arkansas 1 | Solid R Average of 6; all agree | Terri Yarbrough Green | Rick Crawford (inc.) | Steve Parsons (Libertarian) | |
| Arkansas 2 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R | Chris Jones | French Hill (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Arkansas 3 | Solid R Average of 6; all agree | Robb Ryerse | Steve Womack (inc.) | Bobby Wilson (Libertarian) | |
| Arkansas 4 | Solid R Average of 6; all agree | James Russell | Bruce Westerman (inc.) | No one else listed |
Help Democrats across Arkansas: Arkansas Democratic Party · See it on the map (Arkansas)
California Governor · 52 House seats
How to vote in California: check your registration on California’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for California
California’s 2026 ballot page · California governor race 2026
Which California Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California governor | Solid D Average of 5; all agree |  Xavier Becerra | Steve Hilton | No one else listed | Open seat · Top-two · Now held by Gavin Newsom (D) |
| California 1 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree |  Mike McGuire | James Gallagher (inc.) | No one else listed | Top-two |
| California 2 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Robin Littau | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 3 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Robb Tucker | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 4 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Eric Jones | No Republican on the ballot | No one else listed | Democrat vs. Democrat (top-two) |
| California 5 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Michael Masuda | Tom McClintock (inc.) | No one else listed | Top-two |
| California 6 | Solid D Average of 7; Solid D to Lean D |  Richard Pan | No Republican on the ballot | Kevin Kiley (No Party Preference, Independent, inc.) | Top-two |
| California 7 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | No Republican on the ballot | No one else listed | Democrat vs. Democrat (top-two) | |
| California 8 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Rudy Recile | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 9 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | John McBride | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 10 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Jeff Frese | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 11 | Solid D One party on the ballot |  Scott Wiener Connie Chan | No Republican on the ballot | No one else listed | Democrat vs. Democrat (top-two) · Open seat · Now held by Nancy Pelosi (D) |
| California 12 | Solid D One party on the ballot | Jamie Joyce | No Republican on the ballot | No one else listed | Democrat vs. Democrat (top-two) |
| California 13 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Tilt D | Kevin Lincoln | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 14 | Solid D One party on the ballot | Melissa Hernandez | No Republican on the ballot | No one else listed | Democrat vs. Democrat (top-two) |
| California 15 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Charles Hoelter | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 16 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Peter Soulé | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 17 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Ritesh Tandon | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 18 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Shane Lewis | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 19 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Peter Verbica | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 20 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Sandra Van Scotter | Vince Fong (inc.) | No one else listed | Top-two |
| California 21 | Solid D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D | Kyle Kirkland | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 22 | Lean D Average of 7; Solid D to Toss-up | David Valadao (inc.) | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 23 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Tessa Lynn Hodge | Jay Obernolte (inc.) | No one else listed | Top-two |
| California 24 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Bob Smith | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 25 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Joe Males | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 26 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree |  Jacqui Irwin | Sam Gallucci | No one else listed | Open seat · Top-two · Now held by Julia Brownley (D) |
| California 27 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Jason Gibbs | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 28 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | April Verlato | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 29 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree |  Angélica Dueñas | No Republican on the ballot | No one else listed | Democrat vs. Democrat (top-two) |
| California 30 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Scott Meyers | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 31 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Eric Ching | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 32 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Larry Thompson | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 33 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Stephanie Vargas | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 34 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Angela Gonzales-TorresDSA | No Republican on the ballot | No one else listed | Democrat vs. Democrat (top-two) |
| California 35 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Mike Cargile | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 36 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Houston Brignano | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 37 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Samantha Mota | No Republican on the ballot | No one else listed | Democrat vs. Democrat (top-two) |
| California 38 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree |  Hilda Solis | Pedro Casas | No one else listed | Open seat · Top-two · Now held by Linda Sánchez (D) |
| California 39 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Steve Manos | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 40 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | No Democrat in the top two | Ken Calvert (inc.) Young Kim (inc.) | No one else listed | Republican vs. Republican (top-two) |
| California 41 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Mitch Clemmons | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 42 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Brian Burley | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 43 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Cristian Morales | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 44 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Genevieve Angel | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 45 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D | Chuong Vo | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 46 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | David Pan | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 47 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Jenny Le Roux | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 48 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Tilt D | Marni von Wilpert | Jim Desmond | No one else listed | Open seat · Top-two · Now held by Darrell Issa (R) |
| California 49 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Armen Kurdian | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 50 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Steve Cohen | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 51 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Ricardo Cabrera | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| California 52 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Jeff Belle | No one else listed | Top-two |
Help Democrats across California: California Democratic Party · See it on the map (California)
Colorado Senate · Governor · 8 House seats
How to vote in Colorado: check your registration on Colorado’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Colorado
Colorado’s 2026 ballot page · Colorado Senate race 2026 · Colorado governor race 2026
Which Colorado Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Senate | Solid D Average of 7; all agree | John Hickenlooper (inc.) | Mark Baisley | Chris Baum (Approval Voting Party) Bob Chew (Colorado Forward Party) Blake Huber (Libertarian) Adam Withrow (Unity Party) | Now held by John Hickenlooper (D) |
| Colorado governor | Solid D Average of 5; Solid D to Likely D |  Phil Weiser | Victor Marx | Greg Lopez (Unaffiliated) Stephen Hamilton (American Constitution Party) Erik Underwood (Approval Voting Party) Eric Mulder (Libertarian) Jeff Peckman (Unity Party) | Open seat · Now held by Jared Polis (D) |
| Colorado 1 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Christy Peterson | Shimon Blau (Independent) Chad Humphrey (Libertarian) Critter Milton (Unity Party) | Open seat · Now held by Diana DeGette (D) | |
| Colorado 2 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Kelley Dennison | Gaylon Kent (Libertarian) | ||
| Colorado 3 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R | Dwayne Romero | Jeff Hurd (inc.) | Clifton Brown (Independent) Cory Robertson (Libertarian) | |
| Colorado 4 | Likely R Average of 7; Toss-up to Solid R | Eileen Laubacher | Lauren Boebert (inc.) | Douglas Mangeris (Libertarian) | |
| Colorado 5 | Lean R Average of 7; Tilt R to Likely R | Jessica Killin | Jeff Crank (inc.) | Christopher Mitchell (American Constitution Party) Mark Elworth Jr. (Libertarian) | |
| Colorado 6 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Jason Clark | Samir Ezzeldin Witta (Independent) Patty McMahon (Libertarian) Meredith Ryan (Unity Party) | ||
| Colorado 7 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Tim Bennett | Joe Krzeczkowski (Independent) Lawrence Clark (American Constitution Party) Dan Sallis (Libertarian) Susan Hall (Unity Party) | ||
| Colorado 8 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up | Manny Rutinel | Gabe Evans (inc.) | David Wood (Libertarian) |
Help Democrats across Colorado: Colorado Democratic Party · See it on the map (Colorado)
Connecticut Governor · 5 House seats
How to vote in Connecticut: check your registration on Connecticut’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Connecticut
Connecticut’s 2026 ballot page · Connecticut governor race 2026
Which Connecticut Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut governor | Solid D Average of 5; Solid D to Likely D | Ryan Fazio | No one else listed | Now held by Ned Lamont (D) | |
| Connecticut 1 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree |  Luke Bronin | Amy Chai | Mary L. Sanders (Green) | Open seat · Now held by John Larson (D) |
| Connecticut 2 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | George Austin | No one else listed | ||
| Connecticut 3 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Christopher Lancia | Thomas Egan (Independent Party of Connecticut) | ||
| Connecticut 4 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Michael Goldstein | Benjamin Wesley (Independent Party of Connecticut) | ||
| Connecticut 5 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Chris Shea | No one else listed |
Help Democrats across Connecticut: Connecticut Democratic Party · See it on the map (Connecticut)
Delaware Senate · 1 House seat
How to vote in Delaware: check your registration on Delaware’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Delaware
Delaware’s 2026 ballot page · Delaware Senate race 2026
Which Delaware Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware Senate | Solid D Average of 7; all agree | Chris Coons (inc.) | Michael Katz | No one else listed | Now held by Chris Coons (D) |
| Delaware at-large | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Joseph Arminio | No one else listed |
Help Democrats across Delaware: Delaware Democratic Party · See it on the map (Delaware)
District of Columbia 1 House seat
How to vote in District of Columbia: check your registration on District of Columbia’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for District of Columbia
District of Columbia’s 2026 ballot page
Which District of Columbia Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District of Columbia at-large | No rating |  Robert White | Denise Rosado | Kymone Freeman (D.C. Statehood Green) | Open seat · Ranked-choice · Now held by Eleanor Holmes Norton (D) |
Help Democrats across District of Columbia: District of Columbia Democratic Party · See it on the map (District of Columbia)
Florida Senate · Governor · 28 House seats
How to vote in Florida: check your registration on Florida’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Florida
Florida’s 2026 ballot page · Florida Senate special election 2026 · Florida governor race 2026
Which Florida Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Senate (special) | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Ashley Moody (inc.) | Neil Gillespie (No Party Affiliation) | Now held by Ashley Moody (R) | |
| Florida governor | Lean R Average of 5; all agree | David Jolly | Byron Donalds | Charles Burkett (Independent) Scott Jewett (Libertarian) Dean Abrams (No Party Affiliation) Jeffrey Datto (No Party Affiliation) Moliere Dimanche (No Party Affiliation) Frank Russo (No Party Affiliation) | Open seat · Now held by Ron DeSantis (R) |
| Florida 1 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree |  Gay Valimont | Jimmy Patronis (inc.) | Tyler Davis (No Party Affiliation) | |
| Florida 2 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Solid R | Amanda Green | Austin Rogers | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Neal Dunn (R) |
| Florida 3 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Seth Harp | Kat Cammack (inc.) | Mike Klein (No Party Affiliation) | |
| Florida 4 | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | LaShonda Holloway | Aaron Bean (inc.) | Mike Sell (Florida Forward) Todd Schaefer (No Party Affiliation) | |
| Florida 5 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Rachel Grage | John Rutherford (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Florida 6 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Eric Yonce | Randy Fine (inc.) | Andrew Parrott (Libertarian) Michael Gist (No Party Affiliation) | |
| Florida 7 | Lean R Average of 7; Lean D to Likely R | Bale Dalton | Ryan Elijah | Christopher Dennison (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Cory Mills (R) |
| Florida 8 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R |  Jennifer Jenkins | Mike Haridopolos (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Florida 9 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R | Dan Green | No one else listed | ||
| Florida 10 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | No Republican on the ballot | No one else listed | ||
| Florida 11 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | James Pericola | Joe Strada | Ralph Groves (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Daniel Webster (R) |
| Florida 12 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R |  Kimberly Overman | Gus Bilirakis (inc.) | Branden Scrivener (No Party Affiliation) | |
| Florida 13 | Lean R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R | Leela Gray | Anna Paulina Luna (inc.) | Tony D'Arrigo (No Party Affiliation) | |
| Florida 14 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up | Mike Beltran | Brian Lambert (Libertarian) | ||
| Florida 15 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Robert People | Laurel Lee (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Florida 16 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R | Kelly Kirschner | Sydney Gruters | Mark Davis (No Party Affiliation) | Open seat · Now held by Vern Buchanan (R) |
| Florida 17 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Matthew Montavon | Greg Steube (inc.) | Michael Quirk (No Party Affiliation) | |
| Florida 18 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Curtis Gibson | Scott Franklin (inc.) | Deva Simmons (No Party Affiliation) | |
| Florida 19 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Victor Arias | Jim Schwartzel | Seth Haskin (No Party Affiliation) | Open seat · Now held by Byron Donalds (R) |
| Florida 20 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Brent Andersen | Kedner Maxime (Independent Party of Florida) | Open seat | |
| Florida 21 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | James Martin | Brian Mast (inc.) | Alexander Cooke (No Party Affiliation) | |
| Florida 22 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Tilt R | Pia Dandiya | Casey Askar | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Lois Frankel (D) |
| Florida 23 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Deborah Adeimy | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Jared Moskowitz (D) | |
| Florida 24 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree |  Oliver Gilbert | Te Mayonna Brown | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Frederica Wilson (D) |
| Florida 25 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up | Scott Singer | Peter Jassenoff (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) | |
| Florida 26 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Nicole Locklin | Mario Diaz-Balart (inc.) | Deborah Meidinger Hosey (No Party Affiliation) | |
| Florida 27 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R | Eliott Rodriguez | Maria Elvira Salazar (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Florida 28 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Phil Ehr | Carlos Gimenez (inc.) | Eddy Rojas (No Party Affiliation) |
Help Democrats across Florida: Florida Democratic Party · See it on the map (Florida)
Georgia Senate · Governor · 14 House seats
How to vote in Georgia: check your registration on Georgia’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Georgia
Georgia’s 2026 ballot page · Georgia Senate race 2026 · Georgia governor race 2026
Which Georgia Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Senate | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Lean D | Mike Collins | No one else listed | Runoff if no majority · Now held by Jon Ossoff (D) | |
| Georgia governor | Toss-up Average of 5; Lean D to Toss-up | Keisha Lance Bottoms | Rick Jackson | No one else listed | Open seat · Runoff if no majority · Now held by Brian Kemp (R) |
| Georgia 1 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Amanda Hollowell | Jim Kingston | No one else listed | Open seat · Runoff if no majority · Now held by Buddy Carter (R) |
| Georgia 2 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Matt Day | No one else listed | Runoff if no majority | |
| Georgia 3 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Maura Keller | Brian Jack (inc.) | No one else listed | Runoff if no majority |
| Georgia 4 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | James Duffie | No one else listed | Runoff if no majority | |
| Georgia 5 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | John Salvesen | No one else listed | Runoff if no majority | |
| Georgia 6 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Kevin Martin | No one else listed | Runoff if no majority | |
| Georgia 7 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Tony Kozycki | Rich McCormick (inc.) | No one else listed | Runoff if no majority |
| Georgia 8 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Kelly Esti | Austin Scott (inc.) | No one else listed | Runoff if no majority |
| Georgia 9 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Caitlyn Gegen | Andrew Clyde (inc.) | No one else listed | Runoff if no majority |
| Georgia 10 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Pamela Delancy | Houston Gaines | No one else listed | Open seat · Runoff if no majority · Now held by Mike Collins (R) |
| Georgia 11 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Chris Harden | John Cowan | No one else listed | Open seat · Runoff if no majority · Now held by Barry Loudermilk (R) |
| Georgia 12 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Ceretta Smith | Rick Allen (inc.) | No one else listed | Runoff if no majority |
| Georgia 13 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree |  Jasmine Clark | Jonathan Chavez | No one else listed | Open seat · Runoff if no majority · Now held by Everton Blair (D) |
| Georgia 14 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree |  Shawn Harris | Clay Fuller (inc.) | No one else listed | Runoff if no majority |
Help Democrats across Georgia: Georgia Democratic Party · See it on the map (Georgia)
Guam Governor · 1 House seat
How to vote in Guam: check your registration on Guam’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Guam
Guam’s 2026 ballot page · Guam governor race 2026
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guam governor | No rating |  Therese Terlaje | Vicente Ada | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Lou Leon Guerrero (D) |
| Guam at-large | No rating |  Alicia Limtiaco | James Moylan (inc.) | No one else listed |
Help Democrats across Guam: Democratic Party of Guam · See it on the map (Guam)
Hawaii Governor · 2 House seats
How to vote in Hawaii: check your registration on Hawaii’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Hawaii
Hawaii’s 2026 ballot page · Hawaii governor race 2026
Which Hawaii Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawaii governor | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Gary Cordery | No one else listed | Now held by Josh Green (D) | |
| Hawaii 1 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Adriel Lam | Jordan Conley (Green) Nathan Berning (Nonpartisan) | ||
| Hawaii 2 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Brenton Awa | Edward Codelia (Nonpartisan) |
Help Democrats across Hawaii: Hawaii Democratic Party · See it on the map (Hawaii)
Idaho Senate · Governor · 2 House seats
How to vote in Idaho: check your registration on Idaho’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Idaho
Idaho’s 2026 ballot page · Idaho Senate race 2026 · Idaho governor race 2026
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Senate | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R |  Todd Achilles (Independent, Democratic-backed) | Jim Risch (inc.) | Matt Loesby (Libertarian) Natalie Fleming (Independent) | Now held by Jim Risch (R) · The Democratic nominee, David Roth, withdrew. Independent Todd Achilles has the support of Democratic leaders. |
| Idaho governor | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Terri Pickens | Brad Little (inc.) | John Stegner (Independent) Pro-Life (Constitution Party) Paul Sand (Libertarian) | Now held by Brad Little (R) |
| Idaho 1 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Kaylee Peterson | Russ Fulcher (inc.) | Sarah Zabel (Independent) Brendan Gomez (Constitution Party) | |
| Idaho 2 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Ellie Gilbreath | Mike Simpson (inc.) | Will Johanson (Libertarian) Emre Houser (Independent) Tripp Hutchinson (Independent) |
Help Democrats across Idaho: Idaho Democratic Party · See it on the map (Idaho)
Illinois Senate · Governor · 17 House seats
How to vote in Illinois: check your registration on Illinois’ election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Illinois
Illinois’ 2026 ballot page · Illinois Senate race 2026 · Illinois governor race 2026
Which Illinois Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois Senate | Solid D Average of 7; all agree | Don Tracy | Whitfield Harrington Jr. (American Center Party) | Open seat · Now held by Dick Durbin (D) | |
| Illinois governor | Solid D Average of 5; Solid D to Likely D | Darren Bailey | Collin Corbett (Independent) | Now held by JB Pritzker (D) | |
| Illinois 1 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Jonathan Jackson (inc.) | Christian Maxwell | No one else listed | |
| Illinois 2 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree |  Donna Miller | Michael Noack | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Robin Kelly (D) |
| Illinois 3 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Delia Ramirez (inc.) | Angel Oakley | No one else listed | |
| Illinois 4 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree |  Patty Garcia | Lupe Castillo | Chris Getty (Independent) Ed Hershey (Working Class Party) | Open seat · Now held by Jesus G. Garcia (D) |
| Illinois 5 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Tommy Hanson | No one else listed | ||
| Illinois 6 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Niki Conforti | No one else listed | ||
| Illinois 7 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Chad Koppie | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Danny K. Davis (D) | |
| Illinois 8 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree |  Melissa Bean | Jennifer Davis | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Raja Krishnamoorthi (D) |
| Illinois 9 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree |  Daniel Biss | John Elleson | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Janice D. Schakowsky (D) |
| Illinois 10 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Brad Schneider (inc.) | Carl Lambrecht | No one else listed | |
| Illinois 11 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Jeff Walter | No one else listed | ||
| Illinois 12 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Julie Fortier | Mike Bost (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Illinois 13 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Jeff Wilson | No one else listed | ||
| Illinois 14 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | James Marter | No one else listed | ||
| Illinois 15 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Jennifer Todd | Mary Miller (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Illinois 16 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Paul Nolley | Darin LaHood (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Illinois 17 | Solid D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D | Dillan Vancil | No one else listed |
La Shawn Ford
Help Democrats across Illinois: Illinois Democratic Party · See it on the map (Illinois)
Indiana 9 House seats
How to vote in Indiana: check your registration on Indiana’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Indiana
Which Indiana Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana 1 | Solid D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D | Frank Mrvan (inc.) | Barb Regnitz | No one else listed | |
| Indiana 2 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Jamee Decio | Rudy Yakym (inc.) | William Henry (Libertarian) | |
| Indiana 3 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Kelly Thompson | Marlin Stutzman (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Indiana 4 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Drew Cox | Jim Baird (inc.) | David Bokash (Independent) | |
| Indiana 5 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R | J.D. Ford | Victoria Spartz (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Indiana 6 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Cinde Wirth | Jefferson Shreve (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Indiana 7 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Patrick McAuley | James Sceniak (Libertarian) | ||
| Indiana 8 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Mary Allen | Mark Messmer (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Indiana 9 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Brad Meyer | Erin Houchin (inc.) | Tonya Hudson (Libertarian) |
Help Democrats across Indiana: Indiana Democratic Party · See it on the map (Indiana)
Iowa Senate · Governor · 4 House seats
How to vote in Iowa: check your registration on Iowa’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Iowa
Iowa’s 2026 ballot page · Iowa Senate race 2026 · Iowa governor race 2026
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa Senate | Toss-up Average of 7; Toss-up to Lean R | Ashley Hinson | Thomas Laehn (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Joni Ernst (R) | |
| Iowa governor | Lean D Average of 5; Likely D to Tilt D | Rob Sand | Zach Lahn | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Kim Reynolds (R) |
| Iowa 1 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Tilt D | Christina Bohannan | Mariannette Miller-Meeks (inc.) | Michael Bridgford (Independent) | |
| Iowa 2 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up | Lindsay James | Joe Mitchell | Rick Stewart (Libertarian) Dave Bushaw (Independent) | Open seat · Now held by Ashley Hinson (R) |
| Iowa 3 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Tilt D | Sarah Trone Garriott | Zach Nunn (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Iowa 4 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree |  Dave Dawson | Chris McGowan | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Randy Feenstra (R) |
Help Democrats across Iowa: Iowa Democratic Party · See it on the map (Iowa)
Kansas Senate · Governor · 4 House seats
How to vote in Kansas: check your registration on Kansas’ election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Kansas
Kansas’ 2026 ballot page · Kansas Senate race 2026 · Kansas governor race 2026
Which Kansas Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas Senate | Toss-up Average of 7; Toss-up to Lean R | Roger Marshall (inc.) | David Graham (Libertarian) | Now held by Roger Marshall (R) | |
| Kansas governor | Lean R Average of 5; Tilt R to Lean R | Cindy Holscher | Ty Masterson | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Laura Kelly (D) |
| Kansas 1 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Lauren Reinhold | Tracey Mann (inc.) | Steven Jacob (Libertarian) | |
| Kansas 2 | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Don Coover | Derek Schmidt (inc.) | John Hauer (Libertarian) | |
| Kansas 3 | Solid D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D | Eric Jenkins | Steven A. Hohe (Libertarian) | ||
| Kansas 4 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Katy Tyndell | Ron Estes (inc.) | Drew Cranmer (Libertarian) |
Help Democrats across Kansas: Kansas Democratic Party · See it on the map (Kansas)
Kentucky Senate · 6 House seats
How to vote in Kentucky: check your registration on Kentucky’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Kentucky
Kentucky’s 2026 ballot page · Kentucky Senate race 2026
Which Kentucky Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Senate | Solid R Average of 7; all agree | Andy Barr | Christopher Campbell (Kentucky Party) | Open seat · Now held by Mitch McConnell (R) | |
| Kentucky 1 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | John "Drew" Williams | James Comer (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Kentucky 2 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Megan Wingfield | Brett Guthrie (inc.) | Thomas Loecken (Independent) | |
| Kentucky 3 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Maria Teresa Rodriguez | No one else listed | ||
| Kentucky 4 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Melissa Strange | Ed Gallrein | Jeremy Todd (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Thomas Massie (R) |
| Kentucky 5 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Ned Pillersdorf | Hal Rogers (inc.) | Gerardo Serrano (Independent) Mikel Wein (Independent) | |
| Kentucky 6 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R | Zach Dembo | Ralph Alvarado | Pete Lynch (Kentucky Party) Jay Bowman (Independent) | Open seat · Now held by Andy Barr (R) |
Help Democrats across Kentucky: Kentucky Democratic Party · See it on the map (Kentucky)
Louisiana Senate · 6 House seats
How to vote in Louisiana: check your registration on Louisiana’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Louisiana
Louisiana’s 2026 ballot page · Louisiana Senate race 2026
Which Louisiana Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Senate | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Julia Letlow | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Bill Cassidy (R) | |
| Louisiana 1 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Lauren JewettDSA | Steve Scalise (inc.) Randall Arrington | E. "Liddy" Glass (No Party) | No nominee until Nov. 3 · All-party ballot · On Nov. 3 Louisiana holds an all-party primary for the House: a candidate with more than half the vote wins outright; otherwise the top two meet on Dec. 12. |
| Louisiana 2 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Peter Williams | Renada "Honey" Collins (No Party) Walter "Rocky" Beach (No Party) Lisa Ballay (Libertarian) | No nominee until Nov. 3 · All-party ballot · On Nov. 3 Louisiana holds an all-party primary for the House: a candidate with more than half the vote wins outright; otherwise the top two meet on Dec. 12. | |
| Louisiana 3 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Clay Higgins (inc.) Kate Cotten | Tia LeBrun (No Party) | No nominee until Nov. 3 · All-party ballot · On Nov. 3 Louisiana holds an all-party primary for the House: a candidate with more than half the vote wins outright; otherwise the top two meet on Dec. 12. 3 Democrats and 2 Republicans qualified, plus one more candidate with no party; no one is a party nominee until voters choose on Nov. 3 (the Democrat listed first is the one endorsed by the Louisiana Democratic Party). | |
| Louisiana 4 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Conrad Cable (party-endorsed Democrat) Matt Gromlich | Mike Johnson (inc.) Gordon Heslop Mike Nichols | No one else listed | No nominee until Nov. 3 · All-party ballot · On Nov. 3 Louisiana holds an all-party primary for the House: a candidate with more than half the vote wins outright; otherwise the top two meet on Dec. 12. 2 Democrats and 3 Republicans qualified; no one is a party nominee until voters choose on Nov. 3 (the Democrat listed first is the one endorsed by the Louisiana Democratic Party). |
| Louisiana 5 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Stewart Cathey Jr. Misti Cordell Oscar Dantzler Michael Echols Gabe Firment Austin Magee | No one else listed | Open seat · No nominee until Nov. 3 · All-party ballot · Now held by Julia Letlow (R) · On Nov. 3 Louisiana holds an all-party primary for the House: a candidate with more than half the vote wins outright; otherwise the top two meet on Dec. 12. 3 Democrats and 6 Republicans qualified; no one is a party nominee until voters choose on Nov. 3 (the Democrat listed first is the one endorsed by the Louisiana Democratic Party). | |
| Louisiana 6 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Lindsay "Rubia" Garcia (party-endorsed Democrat) Chauna Banks Pat Forbes | Blake Miguez Rick Edmonds Monique Appeaning Larry Davis III Michael Mebruer Stephen Wagley | Rufus Craig (Libertarian) | Open seat · No nominee until Nov. 3 · All-party ballot · Now held by Cleo Fields (D) · On Nov. 3 Louisiana holds an all-party primary for the House: a candidate with more than half the vote wins outright; otherwise the top two meet on Dec. 12. 3 Democrats and 6 Republicans qualified, plus a Libertarian; no one is a party nominee until voters choose on Nov. 3 (the Democrat listed first is the one endorsed by the Louisiana Democratic Party). |
Pat Moore (party-endorsed Democrat)Help Democrats across Louisiana: Louisiana Democratic Party · See it on the map (Louisiana)
Maine Senate · Governor · 2 House seats
How to vote in Maine: check your registration on Maine’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Maine
Maine’s 2026 ballot page · Maine Senate race 2026 · Maine governor race 2026
Which Maine Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maine Senate | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up | Susan Collins (inc.) | No one else listed | Ranked-choice · Now held by Susan Collins (R) | |
| Maine governor | Solid D Average of 5; Solid D to Likely D |  Hannah Pingree | Bobby Charles | Rick Bennett (Independent) | Open seat · Now held by Janet Mills (D) |
| Maine 1 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Ronald Russell | No one else listed | Ranked-choice | |
| Maine 2 | Lean R Average of 7; Lean D to Lean R | Matthew Dunlap | Paul LePage | No one else listed | Open seat · Ranked-choice · Now held by Jared Golden (D) |
Help Democrats across Maine: Maine Democratic Party · See it on the map (Maine)
Maryland Governor · 8 House seats
How to vote in Maryland: check your registration on Maryland’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Maryland
Maryland’s 2026 ballot page · Maryland governor race 2026
Which Maryland Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland governor | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Dan Cox | Andy Ellis (Green) Cathy White (Working Class Party) | Now held by Wes Moore (D) | |
| Maryland 1 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Dan Schwartz | Andy Harris (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Maryland 2 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Johnny Olszewski (inc.) | Dave Wallace | No one else listed | |
| Maryland 3 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Berney Flowers | No one else listed | ||
| Maryland 4 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | George McDermott | Sam Husseini (Green) | ||
| Maryland 5 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree |  Adrian Boafo | Chris Chaffee | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Steny Hoyer (D) |
| Maryland 6 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Robin Ficker | Moshe Landman (Green) | ||
| Maryland 7 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Scott Collier | No one else listed | ||
| Maryland 8 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Cheryl Riley | Nancy Wallace (Green) |
Help Democrats across Maryland: Maryland Democratic Party · See it on the map (Maryland)
Massachusetts Senate · Governor · 9 House seats
How to vote in Massachusetts: check your registration on Massachusetts’ election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Massachusetts
Massachusetts’ 2026 ballot page · Massachusetts Senate race 2026 · Massachusetts governor race 2026
Which Massachusetts Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massachusetts Senate | Solid D Average of 7; all agree | John Deaton | Shiva Ayyadurai (Independent) Joe Tache (Party for Socialism and Liberation) | Now held by Ed Markey (D) | |
| Massachusetts governor | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Michael Minogue | Andrea James (Independent) | Now held by Maura Healey (D) | |
| Massachusetts 1 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | No Republican on the ballot | Nadia Milleron (Independent) | ||
| Massachusetts 2 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | No Republican on the ballot | No one else listed | ||
| Massachusetts 3 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Gary Grossi | Dennis Conlon (Unenrolled) | ||
| Massachusetts 4 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Tom Stalcup | No one else listed | ||
| Massachusetts 5 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | No Republican on the ballot | No one else listed | ||
| Massachusetts 6 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Dan Koh | Micah Jones | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Seth Moulton (D) |
| Massachusetts 7 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | No Republican on the ballot | No one else listed | ||
| Massachusetts 8 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Robert Burke | Rasheed Walters (Independent) | ||
| Massachusetts 9 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Tyler MacAllister | No one else listed |
Help Democrats across Massachusetts: Massachusetts Democratic Party · See it on the map (Massachusetts)
Michigan Senate · Governor · 13 House seats
How to vote in Michigan: check your registration on Michigan’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Michigan
Michigan’s 2026 ballot page · Michigan Senate race 2026 · Michigan governor race 2026
Which Michigan Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Senate | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up | Mike Rogers | Douglas P. Marsh (Green) Lydia Christensen (Libertarian) Walter Kristy (Natural Law Party in Michigan) Timothy Long (U.S. Taxpayers Party) | Open seat · Now held by Gary Peters (D) · 24/48-hour notices: United Democracy Project reported $94,620 against Abdul El-Sayed (D) | |
| Michigan governor | Lean D Average of 5; Likely D to Tilt D | Jocelyn Benson | John James | Douglas Campbell (Green) Anthony Hudson (Libertarian) Donna Brandenburg (U.S. Taxpayers Party) | Open seat · Now held by Gretchen Whitmer (D) |
| Michigan 1 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R |  Callie Barr | Jack Bergman (inc.) | LaVeta Davenport (Green) Arnett Satterla (Libertarian) Doc Kovaly (U.S. Taxpayers Party) Liz Hakola (Working Class Party) Zebulon Featherly (Independent) | |
| Michigan 2 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Benjamin Ambrose | John Moolenaar (inc.) | Charlotte Magoon (Green) Richard Sills (Natural Law Party in Michigan) | |
| Michigan 3 | Solid D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D | Hillary Scholten (inc.) | Terri DeBoer | Joe Jock (Green) | |
| Michigan 4 | Toss-up Average of 7; Toss-up to Lean R | Sean McCann | Bill Huizenga (inc.) | Shafina Barnett (Green) | |
| Michigan 5 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Christian Vukasovich | Tim Walberg (inc.) | James Bronke (Green) Ronald Muszynski (Libertarian) Sharon Renier (U.S. Taxpayers Party) | |
| Michigan 6 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Heather Smiley | Clyde Shabazz (Green) Tim Teagan (Libertarian) Michael Mickevicius (U.S. Taxpayers Party) Linda Rayburn (Working Class Party) | ||
| Michigan 7 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up | William Lawrence | Tom Barrett (inc.) | Shane Dedrick (Green) | |
| Michigan 8 | Solid D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D | Tom Smith | Jim Casha (Green) C. Mia Pettus (Libertarian) Kathy Goodwin (Working Class Party) | ||
| Michigan 9 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Ray Pooley | Lisa McClain (inc.) | Destiny Clayton (Green) Kevin Vayko (Libertarian) John Vlahos (U.S. Taxpayers Party) Jim Walkowicz (Working Class Party) | |
| Michigan 10 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Tilt R | Christina Hines | Michael Bouchard Jr. | Kwabena Nkromo (Green) Mike Saliba (Libertarian) Andrea Kirby (Working Class Party) | Open seat · Now held by John James (R) |
| Michigan 11 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree |  Jeremy Moss | Ethan Baker | Ryan Teasdale (Green) Farid Ishac (Libertarian) Anil Kumar (Independent) | Open seat · Now held by Haley Stevens (D) |
| Michigan 12 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | James D. Hooper | Brenda Sanders (Green) Marc Joseph Sosnowski (U.S. Taxpayers Party) Gary Walkowicz (Working Class Party) | ||
| Michigan 13 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | T.P. Nykoriak | Raelyn Light (Green) Christopher Dardzinski (U.S. Taxpayers Party) Simone Coleman (Working Class Party) | Open seat · Now held by Shri Thanedar (D) |
Help Democrats across Michigan: Michigan Democratic Party · See it on the map (Michigan)
Minnesota Senate · Governor · 8 House seats
How to vote in Minnesota: check your registration on Minnesota’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Minnesota
Minnesota’s 2026 ballot page · Minnesota Senate race 2026 · Minnesota governor race 2026
Which Minnesota Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Senate | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Lean D | Michele Tafoya | Rebecca Whiting (Libertarian) Marisa Simonetti (Unaffiliated) | Open seat · Now held by Tina Smith (D) | |
| Minnesota governor | Solid D Average of 5; Solid D to Likely D | Lisa Demuth | Steven Young (Green) | Open seat · Now held by Tim Walz (D) | |
| Minnesota 1 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R | Jake Johnson | Brad Finstad (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Minnesota 2 | Solid D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D |  Matt Little | Eric Pratt | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Angie Craig (D) |
| Minnesota 3 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Tyler Bass | No one else listed | ||
| Minnesota 4 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Paul Wikstrom | No one else listed | ||
| Minnesota 5 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | John Nagel | DeVelle Jackson (Independent) | ||
| Minnesota 6 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Doug Chapin | Tom Emmer (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Minnesota 7 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Erik Osberg | Michelle Fischbach (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Minnesota 8 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Trina Swanson | Pete Stauber (inc.) | No one else listed |
Help Democrats across Minnesota: Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party · See it on the map (Minnesota)
Mississippi Senate · 4 House seats
How to vote in Mississippi: check your registration on Mississippi’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Mississippi
Mississippi’s 2026 ballot page · Mississippi Senate race 2026
Which Mississippi Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi Senate | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Cindy Hyde-Smith (inc.) | Ty Pinkins (Independent) | Now held by Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) | |
| Mississippi 1 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Cliff Johnson | Trent Kelly (inc.) | Johnny Baucom (Libertarian) | |
| Mississippi 2 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Ron Eller | Bennie Foster (Independent) | ||
| Mississippi 3 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Michael Chiaradio | Michael Guest (inc.) | Erik Kiehle (Libertarian) | |
| Mississippi 4 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree |  Jeffrey Hulum III | Mike Ezell (inc.) | Carl Boyanton (Independent) |
Help Democrats across Mississippi: Mississippi Democratic Party · See it on the map (Mississippi)
Missouri 8 House seats
How to vote in Missouri: check your registration on Missouri’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Missouri
Which Missouri Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri 1 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Paul Berry III | Tom Schmitz (Libertarian) | ||
| Missouri 2 | Likely R Average of 7; Toss-up to Solid R | Fred Wellman | Ann Wagner (inc.) | Brandon Daugherty (Libertarian) | |
| Missouri 3 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Bethany Mann | Bob Onder (inc.) | Jim Higgins (Libertarian) | |
| Missouri 4 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Jordan Herrera | Mark Alford (inc.) | Thomas Holbrook (Libertarian) | |
| Missouri 5 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Rick Brattin | Randy Langkraehr (Libertarian) | ||
| Missouri 6 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Josh Smead | Chris Stigall | Andy Maidment (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Sam Graves (R) |
| Missouri 7 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Missi Hesketh | Eric Burlison (inc.) | Kevin Craig (Libertarian) | |
| Missouri 8 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Chris Reichard | Jason Smith (inc.) | Rebecca Sharpe Lombard (Libertarian) |
Help Democrats across Missouri: Missouri Democratic Party · See it on the map (Missouri)
Montana Senate · 2 House seats
How to vote in Montana: check your registration on Montana’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Montana
Montana’s 2026 ballot page · Montana Senate race 2026
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana Senate | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Kurt Alme | Seth Bodnar (Independent) Kyle Austin (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Steve Daines (R) | |
| Montana 1 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Lean R | Sam Forstag | Aaron Flint | Nick Sheedy (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Ryan Zinke (R) |
| Montana 2 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Brian Miller | Troy Downing (inc.) | Michael Eisenhauer (Independent) Patrick McCracken (Libertarian) |
Help Democrats across Montana: Montana Democratic Party · See it on the map (Montana)
Nebraska Senate · Governor · 3 House seats
How to vote in Nebraska: check your registration on Nebraska’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Nebraska
Nebraska’s 2026 ballot page · Nebraska Senate race 2026 · Nebraska governor race 2026
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska Senate | Lean R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R | Dan Osborn (Independent, endorsed by the Nebraska Democratic Party) | Pete Ricketts (inc.) | Chuck Conboy (America First Party Nebraska) Mike Marvin (Legal Marijuana Now Party) Robin Richards (Nebraska Working People Party) | Now held by Pete Ricketts (R) · The Democratic nominee, Cindy Burbank, withdrew in July 2026. The Nebraska Democratic Party endorsed independent Dan Osborn. |
| Nebraska governor | Likely R Average of 5; all agree | Lynne Walz | Jim Pillen (inc.) | Brett Lindstrom (America First) Rick Beard (Legal Marijuana NOW) | Now held by Jim Pillen (R) |
| Nebraska 1 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R | Chris Backemeyer | Mike Flood (inc.) | Nik Sandman (Libertarian) Dan Hartong (America First) | |
| Nebraska 2 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Lean D | Denise Powell | Brinker Harding | Eric Michael Foreman (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Don Bacon (R) |
| Nebraska 3 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Becky Stille | Adrian Smith (inc.) | Mark Cohen (Independent) David J. Else (Legal Marijuana Now Party) Macey Budke (Nebraska Working People Party) |
Help Democrats across Nebraska: Nebraska Democratic Party · See it on the map (Nebraska)
Nevada Governor · 4 House seats
How to vote in Nevada: check your registration on Nevada’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Nevada
Nevada’s 2026 ballot page · Nevada governor race 2026
Which Nevada Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada governor | Toss-up Average of 5; Toss-up to Tilt R | Aaron Ford | Joe Lombardo (inc.) | Danielle Ford (No Political Party) | Now held by Joe Lombardo (R) |
| Nevada 1 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Lean D | Carrie Buck | Bobby Khan (Independent) Steven St. John (Independent) | ||
| Nevada 2 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R | Teresa Benitez-Thompson | David Flippo | Lynn Chapman (Independent American) | Open seat · Now held by Mark Amodei (R) |
| Nevada 3 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Lean D | Martin O'Donnell | Jon Kamerath (Independent American) | ||
| Nevada 4 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D | Cody Whipple | Russell Best (Independent American) William Johnson (Independent) |
Help Democrats across Nevada: Nevada Democratic Party · See it on the map (Nevada)
New Hampshire Senate · Governor · 2 House seats
How to vote in New Hampshire: check your registration on New Hampshire’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for New Hampshire
New Hampshire’s 2026 ballot page · New Hampshire Senate race 2026 · New Hampshire governor race 2026
Which New Hampshire Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Hampshire Senate | Likely D Average of 7; Likely D to Tilt D | John E. Sununu | Edmond LaPlante (Constitution Party) | Open seat · Now held by Jeanne Shaheen (D) | |
| New Hampshire governor | Likely R Average of 5; Lean R to Solid R | Cinde Warmington | Kelly Ayotte (inc.) | Stephen Villee (Libertarian Party) | Now held by Kelly Ayotte (R) |
| New Hampshire 1 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Lean D | Stefany Shaheen | Anthony DiLorenzo | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Chris Pappas (D) |
| New Hampshire 2 | Solid D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D | Lily Tang Williams | Robbie Mahrou (Independent) |
Help Democrats across New Hampshire: New Hampshire Democratic Party · See it on the map (New Hampshire)
New Jersey Senate · 12 House seats
How to vote in New Jersey: check your registration on New Jersey’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for New Jersey
New Jersey’s 2026 ballot page · New Jersey Senate race 2026
Which New Jersey Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Jersey Senate | Solid D Average of 7; all agree | Justin Murphy | Veronica Fernandez (End the Corruption!) Joanne Kuniansky (Socialist Workers Party) | Now held by Cory Booker (D) | |
| New Jersey 1 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Damon Galdo | No one else listed | ||
| New Jersey 2 | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Zack Mullock | Jeff Van Drew (inc.) | Ramon Mora Jr. (Independent) | |
| New Jersey 3 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Michael McGuire | Ryan Michael Kelly (Affordability, Accountability, People) Steven Welzer (Green Party) | ||
| New Jersey 4 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Rachel Peace | Chris Smith (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| New Jersey 5 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Sean Kirrane | Adam Rueda (Humane Sustainable Future) | ||
| New Jersey 6 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Hillary Herzig | No one else listed | ||
| New Jersey 7 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Tilt D | Rebecca Bennett | Thomas Kean Jr. (inc.) | Seamus Patrick O'Toole (Stop Israel's Genocide) | |
| New Jersey 8 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | No Republican on the ballot | Aristotle Eliopoulos (Independent) Craig Honts (Socialist Workers Party) Da'Shone Hughey (We The People) | ||
| New Jersey 9 | Solid D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D | Rosie Pino | Terrisa Bukovinac (Save Our Babies) | ||
| New Jersey 10 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Carmen Bucco | No one else listed | ||
| New Jersey 11 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Joe Hathaway | Alan B. Bond (Hope for Tomorrow) | ||
| New Jersey 12 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree |  Adam Hamawy | Gregg Mele | Andres Jinete (Green Party) Winston Jordan (Get Money Out) | Open seat · Now held by Bonnie Watson Coleman (D) |
Help Democrats across New Jersey: New Jersey Democratic Party · See it on the map (New Jersey)
New Mexico Senate · Governor · 3 House seats
How to vote in New Mexico: check your registration on New Mexico’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for New Mexico
New Mexico’s 2026 ballot page · New Mexico Senate race 2026 · New Mexico governor race 2026
Which New Mexico Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Senate | Solid D Average of 7; all agree | Larry Marker | No one else listed | Now held by Ben Ray Luján (D) | |
| New Mexico governor | Solid D Average of 5; Solid D to Likely D |  Deb Haaland | Gregg Hull | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) |
| New Mexico 1 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Melanie Stansbury (inc.) | Didi Okpareke | No one else listed | |
| New Mexico 2 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Tilt D | Greg Cunningham | No one else listed | ||
| New Mexico 3 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Martin Zamora | No one else listed |
Help Democrats across New Mexico: New Mexico Democratic Party · See it on the map (New Mexico)
New York Governor · 26 House seats
How to vote in New York: check your registration on New York’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for New York
New York’s 2026 ballot page · New York governor race 2026
Which New York Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York governor | Solid D Average of 5; Solid D to Likely D | Bruce Blakeman | No one else listed | Now held by Kathy Hochul (D) | |
| New York 1 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Solid R | Chris Gallant | Nick LaLota (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| New York 2 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Patrick Halpin | Andrew Garbarino (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| New York 3 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Lean D | Mike LiPetri | No one else listed | ||
| New York 4 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Tilt D | Jeanine Driscoll | Blay Tarnoff (Libertarian Party) | ||
| New York 5 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | George Marsh | No one else listed | ||
| New York 6 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Joseph Chou | No one else listed | ||
| New York 7 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Melvin Rivera | Priscilla Ghaznavi (Our Future) | Open seat · Now held by Nydia Velázquez (D) | |
| New York 8 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Lewis Mizrahi | No one else listed | ||
| New York 9 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Joel Anabilah-Azumah | No one else listed | ||
| New York 10 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Jennifer Moore | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Dan Goldman (D) | |
| New York 11 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Michael DeCillis | Nicole Malliotakis (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| New York 12 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree |  Micah Lasher | Caroline Shinkle | Wilneida Negron (For All of Us) Karen Ortiz (Karen Ortiz line) | Open seat · Now held by Jerry Nadler (D) |
| New York 13 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Darializa Avila ChevalierDSA | Jomo Williams | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Adriano Espaillat (D) |
| New York 14 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Diamant Hysenaj | No one else listed | ||
| New York 15 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Stylo Sapaskis | Gonzalo Duran (Conservative Party) Andre Easton (Party for Socialism and Liberation) Jose Vega (Speak The Truth) | ||
| New York 16 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Joseph Cinquemani | No one else listed | ||
| New York 17 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up | Cait Conley | Mike Lawler (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| New York 18 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Jacqueline Auringer | No one else listed | ||
| New York 19 | Solid D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D | Peter Oberacker | No one else listed | ||
| New York 20 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Ralph Ambrosio | No one else listed | ||
| New York 21 | Lean R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R | Blake Gendebien | Anthony Constantino | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Elise Stefanik (R) |
| New York 22 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Kailee Buller | No one else listed | ||
| New York 23 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Aaron Gies | Nick Langworthy (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| New York 24 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Alissa Ellman | Claudia Tenney (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| New York 25 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Virginia McIntyre | No one else listed | ||
| New York 26 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Dennis Hannon | No one else listed |
Brad Lander
Help Democrats across New York: New York Democratic Party · See it on the map (New York)
North Carolina Senate · 14 House seats
How to vote in North Carolina: check your registration on North Carolina’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for North Carolina
North Carolina’s 2026 ballot page · North Carolina Senate race 2026
Which North Carolina Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Senate | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Lean D | Michael Whatley | Michael Dublin (Green) Shannon Bray (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Thom Tillis (R) | |
| North Carolina 1 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up | Don Davis (inc.) | Laurie Buckhout | Tom Bailey (Libertarian) | |
| North Carolina 2 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Deborah Ross (inc.) | Gene Douglass | Matthew Laszacs (Libertarian) | |
| North Carolina 3 | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Raymond Smith Jr. | Greg Murphy (inc.) | Daniel Cavender (Libertarian) | |
| North Carolina 4 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Valerie Foushee (inc.) | Max Ganorkar | Guy Meilleur (Libertarian) | |
| North Carolina 5 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Chuck Hubbard | Virginia Foxx (inc.) | Robert Luffman (Libertarian) | |
| North Carolina 6 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Cyril Jefferson | Addison McDowell (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| North Carolina 7 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Kimberly Hardy | David Rouzer (inc.) | Maad Abu-Ghazalah (Libertarian) | |
| North Carolina 8 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Colby Watson | Mark Harris (inc.) | Bo Whitehead (Green) | |
| North Carolina 9 | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Richard Ojeda | Richard Hudson (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| North Carolina 10 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Ashley Bell | Pat Harrigan (inc.) | Steven Feldman (Libertarian) | |
| North Carolina 11 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up | Jamie Ager | Jennifer Balkcom | Travis Groo (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Chuck Edwards (R) |
| North Carolina 12 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Alma Adams (inc.) | Jack Codiga | No one else listed | |
| North Carolina 13 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Paul Barringer | Brad Knott (inc.) | Anthony Aguilar (Green) Steven Swinton (Libertarian) | |
| North Carolina 14 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | LaKesha Womack | Tim Moore (inc.) | No one else listed |
Help Democrats across North Carolina: North Carolina Democratic Party · See it on the map (North Carolina)
North Dakota 1 House seat
How to vote in North Dakota: check your registration on North Dakota’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for North Dakota
North Dakota’s 2026 ballot page
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota at-large | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Trygve Hammer | Julie Fedorchak (inc.) | Helene Neville (Independent) Charles Tuttle (Independent) |
Help Democrats across North Dakota: North Dakota Democratic Party · See it on the map (North Dakota)
Northern Mariana Islands 1 House seat
How to vote in Northern Mariana Islands: check your registration on Northern Mariana Islands’ election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Northern Mariana Islands
Northern Mariana Islands’ 2026 ballot page
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Mariana Islands at-large | No rating | No Democrat on the ballot | Kimberlyn King-Hinds (inc.) | Galvin Deleon Guerrero (Independent) |
Help Democrats across Northern Mariana Islands: Northern Mariana Islands Democratic Party · See it on the map (Northern Mariana Islands)
Ohio Senate · Governor · 15 House seats
How to vote in Ohio: check your registration on Ohio’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Ohio
Ohio’s 2026 ballot page · Ohio Senate special election 2026 · Ohio governor race 2026
Which Ohio Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Senate (special) | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up | Jon Husted (inc.) | Bill Redpath (Libertarian) Gregory Levy (Independent) | Now held by Jon Husted (R) | |
| Ohio governor | Lean D Average of 5; Likely D to Toss-up | Amy Acton | Vivek Ramaswamy | Don Kissick (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Mike DeWine (R) |
| Ohio 1 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Tilt D | Eric Conroy | Nathan Weise (Libertarian) | ||
| Ohio 2 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Jennifer Mazzuckelli | David Taylor (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Ohio 3 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Cleophus Dulaney | No one else listed | ||
| Ohio 4 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Joshua Kolasinski | Jim Jordan (inc.) | Tracey Tackett (Independent) | |
| Ohio 5 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Brian Shaver | Bob Latta (inc.) | Michael Veloff (Libertarian) | |
| Ohio 6 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Elizabeth Kirtley | Michael Rulli (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Ohio 7 | Toss-up Average of 7; all agree | Brian Poindexter | Max Miller (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Ohio 8 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Vanessa Enoch | Warren Davidson (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Ohio 9 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up | Derek Merrin | No one else listed | ||
| Ohio 10 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Solid R | Kristina Knickerbocker | Mike Turner (inc.) | Thomas McMasters (Libertarian) | |
| Ohio 11 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Shontel Brown (inc.) | Mike Kirchner | No one else listed | |
| Ohio 12 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Jerrad Christian | Troy Balderson (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Ohio 13 | Solid D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D | Emilia Sykes (inc.) | Carey Coleman | Sandeep Dixit (Independent) | |
| Ohio 14 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Maria Jukic | Dave Joyce (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Ohio 15 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R | Don Leonard | Mike Carey (inc.) | Brennan Barrington (Libertarian) |
Help Democrats across Ohio: Ohio Democratic Party · See it on the map (Ohio)
Oklahoma Senate · Governor · 5 House seats
How to vote in Oklahoma: check your registration on Oklahoma’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Oklahoma
Oklahoma’s 2026 ballot page · Oklahoma Senate race 2026 · Oklahoma governor race 2026
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma Senate | Solid R Average of 7; all agree | Kevin Hern | Sevier White (Libertarian) Ron Meinhardt (Independent) Curtis Stinnett (Independent) | Open seat · Now held by Alan Armstrong (R) | |
| Oklahoma governor | Likely R Average of 5; Likely R to Solid R | Cyndi Munson | Mike Mazzei | Robert Brooks (Independent) Orlando Lynn Bush (Independent) Jerry Griffin (Independent) | Open seat · Now held by Kevin Stitt (R) |
| Oklahoma 1 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | John Croisant | Mark Tedford | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Kevin Hern (R) |
| Oklahoma 2 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Brandon Wade | Josh Brecheen (inc.) | Ronnie Hopkins (Independent) | |
| Oklahoma 3 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Suzie Byrd | Frank Lucas (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Oklahoma 4 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Mitchell Jacob | Tom Cole (inc.) | Rocco Bonacci (Independent) | |
| Oklahoma 5 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Jena Nelson | Stephanie Bice (inc.) | Robert Henri (Independent) Austin Nieves (Independent) |
Help Democrats across Oklahoma: Oklahoma Democratic Party · See it on the map (Oklahoma)
Oregon Senate · Governor · 6 House seats
How to vote in Oregon: check your registration on Oregon’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Oregon
Oregon’s 2026 ballot page · Oregon Senate race 2026 · Oregon governor race 2026
Which Oregon Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon Senate | Solid D Average of 7; all agree | David Brock Smith | Gary Dye (Libertarian) Chris Henry (Pacific Green Party of Oregon / Progressive Party) | Now held by Jeff Merkley (D) | |
| Oregon governor | Lean D Average of 5; Likely D to Lean D | Christine Drazan | Brett Smith (Pacific Green Party of Oregon) | Now held by Tina Kotek (D) | |
| Oregon 1 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Barbara Kahl | No one else listed | ||
| Oregon 2 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Chris Beck | Cliff Bentz (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Oregon 3 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Loran Ayles | No one else listed | ||
| Oregon 4 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Val Hoyle (inc.) | Monique DeSpain | Justin Filip (Pacific Green) | |
| Oregon 5 | Solid D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D | Janelle Bynum (inc.) | Patti Adair | Andrea Townsend (Pacific Green) | |
| Oregon 6 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | David Russ | No one else listed |
Help Democrats across Oregon: Democratic Party of Oregon · See it on the map (Oregon)
Pennsylvania Governor · 17 House seats
How to vote in Pennsylvania: check your registration on Pennsylvania’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania’s 2026 ballot page · Pennsylvania governor race 2026
Which Pennsylvania Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pennsylvania governor | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Stacy Garrity | Ken Krawchuk (Libertarian) | Now held by Josh Shapiro (D) | |
| Pennsylvania 1 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Lean R | Bob Harvie | Brian Fitzpatrick (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Pennsylvania 2 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Brendan Boyle (inc.) | Jessica Arriaga | No one else listed | |
| Pennsylvania 3 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | No Republican on the ballot | Dennis Mahoney (Independent) | Open seat · Now held by Dwight Evans (D) | |
| Pennsylvania 4 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Aurora Stuski | No one else listed | ||
| Pennsylvania 5 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Nicholas Manganaro | No one else listed | ||
| Pennsylvania 6 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Marty Young | No one else listed | ||
| Pennsylvania 7 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Tilt D | Bob Brooks | Ryan Mackenzie (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Pennsylvania 8 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up | Paige Cognetti | Rob Bresnahan (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Pennsylvania 9 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Rachel Wallace | Dan Meuser (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Pennsylvania 10 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up | Janelle Stelson | Scott Perry (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Pennsylvania 11 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Nancy Mannion | Lloyd Smucker (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Pennsylvania 12 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Summer Lee (inc.) | James Hayes | No one else listed | |
| Pennsylvania 13 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Beth Farnham | John Joyce (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Pennsylvania 14 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Alan Bradstock | Guy Reschenthaler (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Pennsylvania 15 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Ray Bilger | Glenn Thompson (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Pennsylvania 16 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Justin Wagner | Mike Kelly (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Pennsylvania 17 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Chris Deluzio (inc.) | Tony Guy | No one else listed |
Help Democrats across Pennsylvania: Pennsylvania Democratic Party · See it on the map (Pennsylvania)
Rhode Island Senate · Governor · 2 House seats
How to vote in Rhode Island: check your registration on Rhode Island’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Rhode Island
Rhode Island’s 2026 ballot page · Rhode Island Senate race 2026 · Rhode Island governor race 2026
Which Rhode Island Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhode Island Senate | Solid D Average of 7; all agree | Raymond McKay | Michael Bahry (Independent) | Now held by Jack Reed (D) | |
| Rhode Island governor | Solid D Average of 5; all agree |  Helena Foulkes | Aaron Guckian | Ken Block (Independent) Jasjit Gotra (Independent) C.D. Reynolds (Independent) | Open seat · Now held by Dan McKee (D) |
| Rhode Island 1 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Kellie Keenan | Pedro DeSouza (Independent) | ||
| Rhode Island 2 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Victor Mellor | No one else listed |
Help Democrats across Rhode Island: Rhode Island Democratic Party · See it on the map (Rhode Island)
South Carolina Senate · Governor · 7 House seats
How to vote in South Carolina: check your registration on South Carolina’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for South Carolina
South Carolina’s 2026 ballot page · South Carolina Senate race 2026 · South Carolina governor race 2026
Which South Carolina Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina Senate | Lean R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R | Darline Graham (inc.) | Mark Hackett (Constitution Party) Kasie Whitener (Libertarian) | Now held by Darline Graham (R) | |
| South Carolina governor | Solid R Average of 5; Lean R to Solid R | Jermaine Johnson | Alan Wilson | Walid Hakim (Green) Michael Addison (United Citizens Party) | Open seat · Now held by Henry McMaster (R) |
| South Carolina 1 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R | Nancy Lacore | Jenny Costa Honeycutt | Bill Reeside (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Nancy Mace (R) |
| South Carolina 2 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Zyon Khalifa | Joe Wilson (inc.) | Dayna Alane Smith (Workers Party) | |
| South Carolina 3 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Eunice Lehmacher | Sheri Biggs (inc.) | Brian Corriea (Libertarian) | |
| South Carolina 4 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Courtney McClain | William Timmons (inc.) | Jessica Ethridge (Libertarian) | |
| South Carolina 5 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Mallory Dittmer | Wes Climer | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Ralph Norman (R) |
| South Carolina 6 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | John Peterson | No one else listed | ||
| South Carolina 7 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | John Vincent | Russell Fry (inc.) | No one else listed |
Help Democrats across South Carolina: South Carolina Democratic Party · See it on the map (South Carolina)
South Dakota Senate · Governor · 1 House seat
How to vote in South Dakota: check your registration on South Dakota’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for South Dakota
South Dakota’s 2026 ballot page · South Dakota Senate race 2026 · South Dakota governor race 2026
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Dakota Senate | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | No Democrat on the ballot | Mike Rounds (inc.) | Brian Bengs (Independent) | Now held by Mike Rounds (R) |
| South Dakota governor | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Dan Ahlers | Larry Rhoden (inc.) | No one else listed | Now held by Larry Rhoden (R) |
| South Dakota at-large | Solid R Average of 4; all agree |  Nicole "Nikki" Gronli | Marty Jackley | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Dusty Johnson (R) |
Help Democrats across South Dakota: South Dakota Democratic Party · See it on the map (South Dakota)
Tennessee Senate · Governor · 9 House seats
How to vote in Tennessee: check your registration on Tennessee’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Tennessee
Tennessee’s 2026 ballot page · Tennessee Senate race 2026 · Tennessee governor race 2026
Which Tennessee Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Senate | Solid R Average of 7; all agree | Bill Hagerty (inc.) | Tharon Chandler (Independent) Andrew Gerena (Independent) Jeremy Hearn (Independent) Robert Jones (Independent) James Macon III (Independent) Yoshi Matthews (Independent) David Sutman Jr. (Independent) Catherine Whitson (Independent) | Now held by Bill Hagerty (R) | |
| Tennessee governor | Solid R Average of 5; Likely R to Solid R |  Jerri Green | Marsha Blackburn | Misam Abidi (Independent) Dean Brewer (Independent) Ray Brown (Independent) David Hatley (Independent) Wendell Jackson (Independent) Charles Morgan (Independent) Eddie Lee Murphy (Independent) Lauren Pinkston (Independent) Victor Scoggin (Independent) Dave Seeman (Independent) Karl Smithson (Independent) L. Webb Taylor (Independent) Robert Vick (Independent) | Open seat · Now held by Bill Lee (R) |
| Tennessee 1 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Kristi Burke | Diana Harshbarger (inc.) | Joshua Ray Ashburn (Independent) Richard Baker (Independent) Chris Campbell (Independent) Billy Cody (Independent) Tyler McClain (Independent) | |
| Tennessee 2 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Michaela Barnett | Tim Burchett (inc.) | Bruce Fine (Independent) Adam Heimerman (Independent) | |
| Tennessee 3 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Anna Golladay | Chuck Fleischmann (inc.) | Dean Arnold (Independent) Jean Howard-Hill (Independent) Rodney King (Independent) Donnie Ownby (Independent) Edward Roland (Independent) | |
| Tennessee 4 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Victoria Broderick | Scott DesJarlais (inc.) | Jacob Anders (Independent) Clay Faircloth (Independent) | |
| Tennessee 5 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R |  Chaz Molder | Charlie Hatcher | James Johnson (Independent) Micheál O'Leary (Independent) | Open seat · Now held by Andy Ogles (R) |
| Tennessee 6 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Mike Croley | Johnny Garrett | Christopher Monday (Independent) Angus Purdy (Independent) | Open seat · Now held by John Rose (R) |
| Tennessee 7 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Darden Copeland | Matt Van Epps (inc.) | Andrew Koontz (Independent) Lowell Reynolds (Independent) | |
| Tennessee 8 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Heidi Kuhn | David Kustoff (inc.) | Adam Austill (Independent) Wendell Blankenship (Independent) Antonio Futch (Independent) Pamela Moses (Independent) Horace Taylor (Independent) Henry Ward III (Independent) | |
| Tennessee 9 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R |  Justin Pearson | Brent Taylor | Dennis Jeffrey Clark (Independent) Michelle Head (Independent) | Open seat · Now held by Steve Cohen (D) |
Help Democrats across Tennessee: Tennessee Democratic Party · See it on the map (Tennessee)
Texas Senate · Governor · 38 House seats
How to vote in Texas: check your registration on Texas’ election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Texas
Texas’ 2026 ballot page · Texas Senate race 2026 · Texas governor race 2026
Which Texas Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Senate | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up | Ken Paxton | Ted Brown (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by John Cornyn (R) | |
| Texas governor | Lean R Average of 5; all agree | Gina Hinojosa | Greg Abbott (inc.) | Pat Dixon (Libertarian) | Now held by Greg Abbott (R) |
| Texas 1 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree |  Yolanda Prince | Nathaniel Moran (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 2 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Shaun Finnie | Steve Toth | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Dan Crenshaw (R) |
| Texas 3 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree |  Evan Hunt | Keith Self (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 4 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Jason Pearce | Pat Fallon (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 5 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Chelsey Hockett | Lance Gooden (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 6 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Danny Minton | Jake Ellzey (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 7 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Alexander Hale | Espoir Ngabo (Green) | ||
| Texas 8 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Laura Jones | Jessica Steinmann | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Morgan Luttrell (R) |
| Texas 9 | Likely R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Leticia Gutierrez | Alex Mealer | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Al Green (D) |
| Texas 10 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Caitlin Rourk | Chris Gober | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Michael McCaul (R) |
| Texas 11 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Claire Reynolds | August Pfluger (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 12 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Angela Rodriguez Prilliman | Craig Goldman (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 13 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Mark Nair | Ronny Jackson (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 14 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Thurman "Bill" Bartie | Randy Weber (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 15 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Lean R | Bobby Pulido | Monica De La Cruz (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 16 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Adam Bauman | No one else listed | ||
| Texas 17 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Casey Shepard | Pete Sessions (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 18 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Ronald Whitfield | No one else listed | ||
| Texas 19 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Kyle Rable | Tom Sell | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Jodey Arrington (R) |
| Texas 20 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Edgardo Baez | No one else listed | ||
| Texas 21 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Kristin Hook | Mark Teixeira | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Chip Roy (R) |
| Texas 22 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Marquette Greene-Scott | Trever Nehls | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Troy Nehls (R) |
| Texas 23 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R | Katy Padilla Stout | Brandon Herrera | Ben Mendoza (Independent) | Open seat |
| Texas 24 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Kevin Burge | Beth Van Duyne (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 25 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Dione Sims | Roger Williams (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 26 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Steven Shook | Brandon Gill (inc.) | Phil Gray (Libertarian) | |
| Texas 27 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Tanya Lloyd | Michael Cloud (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 28 | Lean D Average of 7; Solid D to Tilt D | Tano Tijerina | Marlon Duran (Green) | ||
| Texas 29 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Martha Fierro | No one else listed | ||
| Texas 30 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree |  Frederick Haynes III | Everett Jackson | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Jasmine Crockett (D) |
| Texas 31 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Justin Early | John Carter (inc.) | Greg Stoker (Green) | |
| Texas 32 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Dan Barrios | Jace Yarbrough | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Julie Johnson (D) |
| Texas 33 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree |  Colin Allred | Patrick Gillespie | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Marc Veasey (D) |
| Texas 34 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up | Eric Flores | Eddie Espinoza (Green) Chris Royal (Libertarian) | ||
| Texas 35 | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Lean R | Johnny Garcia | Carlos De La Cruz | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Greg Casar (D) |
| Texas 36 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Rhonda Hart | Brian Babin (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Texas 37 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Lauren Peña | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Lloyd Doggett (D) | |
| Texas 38 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Melissa McDonough | Jon Bonck | Alex McMenemy (Green) | Open seat · Now held by Wesley Hunt (R) |
Help Democrats across Texas: Texas Democratic Party · See it on the map (Texas)
U.S. Virgin Islands Governor · 1 House seat
How to vote in U.S. Virgin Islands: check your registration on U.S. Virgin Islands’ election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for U.S. Virgin Islands
U.S. Virgin Islands’ 2026 ballot page · U.S. Virgin Islands governor race 2026
Which U.S. Virgin Islands Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Virgin Islands governor | No rating |  Stacey Plaskett | No Republican on the ballot | Warren Mosler (Independent) Adlah Donastorg Jr. (Independent) Gustav James (Independent) Oakland Benta (Independent) | Open seat · Runoff if no majority · Now held by Albert Bryan (D) |
| U.S. Virgin Islands at-large | No rating |  Janelle Sarauw | No Republican on the ballot | Shelley Moorhead (Independent) | Open seat · Now held by Stacey Plaskett (D) |
Help Democrats across U.S. Virgin Islands: U.S. Virgin Islands Democratic Party · See it on the map (U.S. Virgin Islands)
Utah 4 House seats
How to vote in Utah: check your registration on Utah’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Utah
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah 1 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree |  Ben McAdams | Riley Owen | Elias Montgomery (Unaffiliated) Jesse West (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Blake Moore (R) |
| Utah 2 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Peter Crosby | Blake Moore (inc.) | Carlton Bowen (Independent American Party of Utah) Daniel Cottam (Libertarian) Robert Moesinger (Unaffiliated) | |
| Utah 3 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Kent Udell | Celeste Maloy (inc.) | Cassie Easley (Constitution Party) Michael Stoddard (Libertarian) Adonis Hooslyn (Unaffiliated) Ayden Scott (Unaffiliated) | |
| Utah 4 | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Jonny Larsen | Mike Kennedy (inc.) | Taylor Wright (Libertarian) Steven Burt (Unaffiliated) | Open seat · Now held by Burgess Owens (R) |
Help Democrats across Utah: Utah Democratic Party · See it on the map (Utah)
Vermont Governor · 1 House seat
How to vote in Vermont: check your registration on Vermont’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Vermont
Vermont’s 2026 ballot page · Vermont governor race 2026
Which Vermont Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vermont governor | Likely R Average of 5; Lean R to Likely R | Amanda Janoo | Phil Scott (inc.) | Dean Roy (Freedom and Unity Party) June Goodband (Green Mountain Peace and Justice Party of Vermont) Brian Judd (Independent) | Now held by Phil Scott (R) |
| Vermont at-large | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Gerald Malloy | Phoenix Altair (Independent) Adam Ortiz (Independent) Suzanne Seymour (Independent) Ryan Walton (Independent) |
Help Democrats across Vermont: Vermont Democratic Party · See it on the map (Vermont)
Virginia Senate · 11 House seats
How to vote in Virginia: check your registration on Virginia’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Virginia
Virginia’s 2026 ballot page · Virginia Senate race 2026
Which Virginia Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Senate | Solid D Average of 7; all agree | Mark Warner (inc.) | Bert Mizusawa | No one else listed | Now held by Mark Warner (D) |
| Virginia 1 | Toss-up Average of 7; Toss-up to Lean R | Shannon Taylor | Rob Wittman (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Virginia 2 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up | Elaine Luria | Jen Kiggans (inc.) | J. Matt Baker (Independent) Bishop Staten (Independent) | 24/48-hour notices: DMFI PAC reported $900,000 against Jen Kiggans (R) |
| Virginia 3 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Bobby Scott (inc.) | Edwin Rivera | Makiba Gaines (Independent) Stephen Woll (Independent) | |
| Virginia 4 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Jennifer McClellan (inc.) | Robert Murray | Joan Bell (Independent) | |
| Virginia 5 | Likely R Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R | Tom Perriello | John McGuire (inc.) | Cooke Harvey (Independent) | |
| Virginia 6 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree |  Beth Macy | Ben Cline (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Virginia 7 | Likely D Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D | Eugene Vindman (inc.) | Doug Ollivant | Randall Terry (Independent) Taner Demirci Lopez (Libertarian) Alaha Ahrar (Independent) Joshua Ertle (Independent) | |
| Virginia 8 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Don Beyer (inc.) | Tony Sabio | Shelly Arnoldi (Libertarian) Tim Sharman (Independent) | |
| Virginia 9 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Joy Powers | Morgan Griffith (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Virginia 10 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Dave Beckwith | Ahsen Malik (Independent) | ||
| Virginia 11 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | James Walkinshaw (inc.) | Arthur Purves | Dianne Blais (Green) |
Help Democrats across Virginia: Virginia Democratic Party · See it on the map (Virginia)
Washington 10 House seats
How to vote in Washington: check your registration on Washington’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Washington
Which Washington Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington 1 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Mary Silva | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| Washington 2 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Edwin Feller | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| Washington 3 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up | John Braun | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| Washington 4 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | John Duresky | Amanda McKinney | No one else listed | Open seat · Top-two · Now held by Dan Newhouse (R) |
| Washington 5 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R |  Carmela Conroy | Michael Baumgartner (inc.) | No one else listed | Top-two |
| Washington 6 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Teresa Fox | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| Washington 7 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Nirav Sheth | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| Washington 8 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Spencer Meline | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| Washington 9 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Doug Basler | No one else listed | Top-two | |
| Washington 10 | Solid D Average of 5; all agree | Chris Chung | No one else listed | Top-two |
Help Democrats across Washington: Washington Democratic Party · See it on the map (Washington)
West Virginia Senate · 2 House seats
How to vote in West Virginia: check your registration on West Virginia’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for West Virginia
West Virginia’s 2026 ballot page · West Virginia Senate race 2026
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia Senate | Solid R Average of 7; all agree | Shelley Moore Capito (inc.) | S. Marshall Wilson (Constitution Party) | Now held by Shelley Moore Capito (R) | |
| West Virginia 1 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Vince George | Carol Miller (inc.) | Belinda Fox-Spencer (Constitution Party) | |
| West Virginia 2 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Ace Parsi | Riley Moore (inc.) | No one else listed |
Help Democrats across West Virginia: West Virginia Democratic Party · See it on the map (West Virginia)
Wisconsin Governor · 8 House seats
How to vote in Wisconsin: check your registration on Wisconsin’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Wisconsin
Wisconsin’s 2026 ballot page · Wisconsin governor race 2026
Which Wisconsin Democrats in Congress are backed by AIPAC? →
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin governor | Lean D Average of 5; Lean D to Toss-up | David Crowley | Tom Tiffany | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Tony Evers (D) |
| Wisconsin 1 | Lean R Average of 7; Toss-up to Likely R | Mitchell Berman | Bryan Steil (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Wisconsin 2 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | No Republican on the ballot | No one else listed | ||
| Wisconsin 3 | Lean D Average of 7; Likely D to Toss-up | Rebecca Cooke | Derrick Van Orden (inc.) | Alexander Valiensi Kent (Independent) Rustin Provance (Independent) | |
| Wisconsin 4 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree | Tim Rogers | Arthur Burks (Independent) | ||
| Wisconsin 5 | Solid R Average of 4; all agree | Andrew Beck | Scott Fitzgerald (inc.) | No one else listed | |
| Wisconsin 6 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Brad Smith | Glenn Grothman (inc.) | Matthew Arndt (Green) Elizabeth Fitzgibbon (Independent) Mike Thurow (Independent) | |
| Wisconsin 7 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R |  Fred Clark | Michael Alfonso | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Tom Tiffany (R) |
| Wisconsin 8 | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Rick Crosson | Tony Wied (inc.) | No one else listed |
Help Democrats across Wisconsin: Wisconsin Democratic Party · See it on the map (Wisconsin)
Wyoming Senate · Governor · 1 House seat
How to vote in Wyoming: check your registration on Wyoming’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Wyoming
Wyoming’s 2026 ballot page · Wyoming Senate race 2026 · Wyoming governor race 2026
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyoming Senate | Solid R Average of 7; all agree | Harriet Hageman | No one else listed | Open seat · Now held by Cynthia Lummis (R) | |
| Wyoming governor | Solid R Average of 5; all agree | Kenneth Casner | Eric Barlow | Rebecca Bextel (Constitution Party) | Open seat · Now held by Mark Gordon (R) |
| Wyoming at-large | Solid R Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R | Lisa Kinney | Chuck Gray | Jeff Haggit (Constitution Party) Shawn Johnson (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by Harriet Hageman (R) |
Help Democrats across Wyoming: Wyoming Democratic Party · See it on the map (Wyoming)
New outside spending 24/48-hour notices since Aug 31, 2026
Ads, mail and other independent spending the tracked PACs reported to the FEC within a day or two, after their last full report (through Aug 31, 2026). Not yet in our totals: each line is counted once the PAC files its next full report, which can correct a date or amount. Read from the FEC on Oct 16, 2026.
| Date | PAC | For or against | Candidate | Race | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | United Democracy Project | Against | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | Michigan Senate | $94,620 | FEC notice 2018953 (United Democracy Project, Oct 7, 2026) |
| Sep 29, 2026 | DMFI PAC | Against | Jen Kiggans (R) | Virginia 2 | $900,000 | FEC notice 2016097 (DMFI PAC, Sep 29, 2026) |
2 lines, $994,620 in all.
Where this comes from
Candidates as of October 9, 2026: Democratic and Republican nominees from state election offices and news reports, every race checked against Ballotpedia’s candidate lists; independent and minor-party candidates from Ballotpedia’s lists, read on October 9, 2026, which Ballotpedia says may not be complete (write-in candidates aren’t shown; for DC and the territories we list only the candidates we found in local news). In 8 top-two races two Democrats face each other and no Republican is on the ballot. 3 races have no Democrat or Democratic-backed candidate. The selection of featured nominees is ours: most nominees the tracked PACs haven’t backed don’t have buttons here.
Ratings are the average of up to seven nonpartisan forecasters: the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, Split Ticket, The Economist and Silver Bulletin. Each rating counts Solid 3, Likely 2, Lean 1, Tilt ½ and Toss-up 0 toward the favored party; the average of the forecasters that rate a race is shown as the nearest label (a tie goes to the less certain one), with the range from the most Democratic to the most Republican rating. Each forecaster’s own ratings pages: Cook Political Report (Senate ratings by Cook Political Report, House ratings by Cook Political Report, governor ratings by Cook Political Report); Decision Desk HQ (Senate ratings by Decision Desk HQ, House ratings by Decision Desk HQ, governor ratings by Decision Desk HQ); Inside Elections (Senate ratings by Inside Elections, House ratings by Inside Elections, governor ratings by Inside Elections); Sabato's Crystal Ball (Senate ratings by Sabato's Crystal Ball, House ratings by Sabato's Crystal Ball, governor ratings by Sabato's Crystal Ball); Silver Bulletin (Senate ratings by Silver Bulletin, House ratings by Silver Bulletin, governor ratings by Silver Bulletin); Split Ticket (Senate ratings by Split Ticket, House ratings by Split Ticket); The Economist (Senate ratings by The Economist, House ratings by The Economist). Their sites block automated reading, so we collect the ratings from the tables Wikipedia editors keep of them, on October 20, 2026; a forecaster may have changed a rating since, and we re-read them at least weekly before publishing. Top-two races between two candidates of one party aren’t rated by forecasters; they show that party as Solid. See it on the map (all states) · Found an error? Tell us.
Photos of members of Congress: official portraits (public domain). Other photos: Aaron Ford: United States Mission to Geneva, United States Department of State (photo of Aaron Ford), Public domain; Abdul El-Sayed: Conlan Houston (photo of Abdul El-Sayed), CC BY-SA 4.0; Adam Hamawy: Office of Congresswoman Bonnie Watson Coleman (photo of Adam Hamawy), Public domain; Adam Hamilton: Working Preacher (photo of Adam Hamilton), CC BY 3.0; Adrian Boafo: Maryland GovPics (photo of Adrian Boafo), CC BY 2.0; Alani Bankhead: Technical Sergeant Nicholas Brown (photo of Alani Bankhead), Public domain; Alicia Limtiaco: U.S. Dept. of Justice (photo of Alicia Limtiaco), Public domain; Amish Shah: Gage Skidmore (photo of Amish Shah), CC BY-SA 3.0; Amy Acton: Patricio101 (photo of Amy Acton), CC0; Angie Nixon: Florida House of Representatives (photo of Angie Nixon), Public domain; Angélica Dueñas: Global Voices for Justice (photo of Angélica Dueñas), CC BY 3.0; Annie Andrews: Stimpus1 (photo of Annie Andrews), CC0; Bale Dalton: NASA (photo of Bale Dalton), Public domain; Ben McAdams: United States Congress (photo of Ben McAdams), Public domain; Beth Macy: Meredith Roller (photo of Beth Macy), CC BY 4.0; Bob Harvie: Governor Tom Wolf from Harrisburg, PA (photo of Bob Harvie), CC BY 2.0; Bobby Pulido: Kim-bodia (photo of Bobby Pulido), CC BY 2.0; Brad Lander: Tessa Bury (photo of Brad Lander), CC BY 4.0; Cait Conley: DHSgov (photo of Cait Conley), Public domain; Callie Barr: WavyPhoton (photo of Callie Barr), CC0; Carmela Conroy: U.S. Department of State (photo of Carmela Conroy), Public domain; Charles Booker: Breadwin (photo of Charles Booker), CC BY-SA 4.0; Chaz Molder: Hmil6 (photo of Chaz Molder), CC BY-SA 4.0; Chris Backemeyer: US Department of State (photo of Chris Backemeyer), Public domain; Chris Jones: BloodshotRollinRed (photo of Chris Jones), CC BY-SA 4.0; Chris Rabb: Governor Tom Wolf (photo of Chris Rabb), CC BY 2.0 (license of the photo of Chris Rabb); Christina Bohannan: Iowa General Assembly (photo of Christina Bohannan), Copyrighted free use; Cindy Holscher: Catboy69 (photo of Cindy Holscher), CC BY 4.0; Claire Valdez: Metropolitan Transportation Authority (photo of Claire Valdez), CC BY 4.0; Colin Allred: Ike Hayman (photo of Colin Allred), Public domain; Connie Chan: San Francisco Board of Supervisors (photo of Connie Chan), Public domain; Cyndi Munson: Unknown author (photo of Cyndi Munson), Public domain; Daniel Biss: Paul Goyette (photo of Daniel Biss), CC BY 4.0; Darializa Avila Chevalier: A LO CLARO and Indhira Baez (photo of Darializa Avila Chevalier), CC BY 3.0; Dave Dawson: Iowa General Assembly (photo of Dave Dawson), Copyrighted free use; David Crowley: LaShawnda Jones (photo of David Crowley), CC BY-SA 4.0; David Jolly: author not stated (official U.S. House portrait) (photo of David Jolly), Public domain; Deb Haaland: Department of the Interior (photo of Deb Haaland), Public domain; Donavan McKinney: City of Detroit (photo of Donavan McKinney), Public domain; Donna Miller: Paul Goyette (photo of Donna Miller), CC BY 2.0; Doug Jones: U.S. Senate Photographic Studio-Renee Bouchard (photo of Doug Jones), Public domain; Dwayne Romero: Jeffrey Beall (photo of Dwayne Romero), CC BY 4.0; Eileen Laubacher: U.S. Navy (photo of Eileen Laubacher), Public domain; Elaine Luria: U.S. House of Representatives (photo of Elaine Luria), Public domain; Evan Hunt: Vannahchf12 (photo of Evan Hunt), CC0; Fred Clark: Jeremy Oswald (photo of Fred Clark), CC BY-SA 4.0; Fred Wellman: Germanna CC (photo of Fred Wellman), CC BY 2.0; Frederick Haynes III: Calvary Baptist Church Jamaica, NY (photo of Frederick Haynes III), CC BY 3.0; Fredrick Love: Arkansas Farm Bureau (photo of Fredrick Love), CC BY 3.0; Gay Valimont: Unknown author (photo of Gay Valimont), CC BY-SA 4.0; Gina Hinojosa: LBJ Library (photo of Gina Hinojosa), Public domain; Hallie Shoffner: Ark. Agricultural Experiment Station (photo of Hallie Shoffner), CC BY-SA 4.0; Hannah Pingree: Hannah Pingree for Governor (photo of Hannah Pingree), CC BY 4.0; Helena Foulkes: Digitas Photos (photo of Helena Foulkes), CC BY 2.0; Hilda Solis: Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors (photo of Hilda Solis), Public domain; J.D. Ford: Dominic (photo of J.D. Ford), CC0; JB Pritzker: Oscar Garza (photo of JB Pritzker), CC BY-SA 4.0; Jacqui Irwin: California National Guard (photo of Jacqui Irwin), CC BY 2.0; James Byrd: Mr. Satterly (photo of James Byrd), WTFPL; James Talarico: Antonioaesparza (photo of James Talarico), CC BY-SA 4.0; Janelle Sarauw: Legislature of the U.S. Virgin Islands (photo of Janelle Sarauw), CC BY-SA 2.5; Jasmine Clark: Georgia House of Representatives (photo of Jasmine Clark), Public domain; Jeffrey Hulum III: Maryland GovPics (photo of Jeffrey Hulum III), CC BY 2.0; Jennifer Jenkins: Brevard County School (photo of Jennifer Jenkins), Public domain; Jeremy Moss: Anmanwell (photo of Jeremy Moss), CC BY-SA 4.0; Jerri Green: Zach Kinslow (photo of Jerri Green), CC BY 4.0; JoAnna Mendoza: Lance Cpl. Shaltiel Dominguez (photo of JoAnna Mendoza), Public domain; Jocelyn Benson: JFM Photo 73 (photo of Jocelyn Benson), CC BY 4.0; Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins: The Alaska Landmine (photo of Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins), CC BY 4.0; Jonathan Nez: Wikiuser159597 (photo of Jonathan Nez), CC BY-SA 4.0; Josh Green: United States Embassy in Tokyo (photo of Josh Green), Public domain; Josh Shapiro: Maryland GovPics (photo of Josh Shapiro), CC BY 2.0; Josh Turek: Iowa General Assembly (photo of Josh Turek), Copyrighted free use; Juliana Stratton: Sgt. Trenton Fouche (photo of Juliana Stratton), Public domain; Justin Pearson: TrentBenge (photo of Justin Pearson), CC BY-SA 4.0; Kathy Hochul: Metropolitan Transportation Authority (photo of Kathy Hochul), CC BY 4.0; Katie Hobbs: Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America (photo of Katie Hobbs), CC BY-SA 4.0; Katy Padilla Stout: DivaaNut (photo of Katy Padilla Stout), CC0; Keisha Lance Bottoms: Executive Office of the President of the United States (photo of Keisha Lance Bottoms), Public domain; Kimberly Overman: Hillsborough County, Florida (photo of Kimberly Overman), Public domain; La Shawn Ford: US Department of Education (photo of La Shawn Ford), CC BY 2.0; Leela Gray: U.S. Army Reserve (photo of Leela Gray), Public domain; Lindsay James: Iowa Legislative Assembly (photo of Lindsay James), Copyrighted free use; Luke Bronin: Dannel Malloy (photo of Luke Bronin), CC BY 2.0; Mai Vang: Sacramento City Council (photo of Mai Vang), Public domain; Manny Rutinel: Andybosselman (photo of Manny Rutinel), CC BY-SA 4.0; Marni von Wilpert: City of San Diego (photo of Marni von Wilpert), Public domain; Mary Peltola: Leah Herman, House Creative Services (photo of Mary Peltola), Public domain; Matt Little: Travellers & Tinkers (photo of Matt Little), CC BY-SA 4.0; Maura Healey: Governors office (photo of Maura Healey), Public domain; Melat Kiros: Andra Turner (photo of Melat Kiros), CC BY-SA 4.0; Melissa Bean: House of Represenatatives (photo of Melissa Bean), Public domain; Micah Lasher: Lance Cpl. Steven Wells (photo of Micah Lasher), Public domain; Mike McGuire: State of California (photo of Mike McGuire), Public domain; Nancy Lacore: U.S. Navy (photo of Nancy Lacore), Public domain; Ned Lamont: The Office of Governor Ned Lamont (photo of Ned Lamont), CC BY-SA 4.0; Nicole "Nikki" Gronli: USDA Media by Christopher Freeman (photo of Nicole "Nikki" Gronli), Public domain; Oliver Gilbert: Miami-Dade County (photo of Oliver Gilbert), Public domain (Florida government work) (license of the photo of Oliver Gilbert); Paige Cognetti: US Department of Labor (photo of Paige Cognetti), CC BY 2.0; Pat Moore: Timothy Holdiness (photo of Pat Moore), CC BY 4.0; Patty Garcia: Paul Goyette (photo of Patty Garcia), CC BY 4.0 (license of the photo of Patty Garcia); Peggy Flanagan: Travellers & Tinkers (photo of Peggy Flanagan), CC BY-SA 4.0; Phil Weiser: Phil Photos (photo of Phil Weiser), Public domain; Pia Dandiya: Executive Office of the President, White House Office, White House Fellows (photo of Pia Dandiya), Public domain; Raymond Smith Jr.: NC General Assembly (photo of Raymond Smith Jr.), Public domain; Rebecca Cooke: UpNorthNews (photo of Rebecca Cooke), CC BY 3.0; Richard Ojeda: Richard Ojeda, campaign Flickr account (photo of Richard Ojeda), CC BY-SA 4.0; Richard Pan: Dr. Richard Pan from Sacramento, CA, USA (photo of Richard Pan), CC BY-SA 2.0; Rob Sand: Rob Sand for Governor (photo of Rob Sand), CC0; Robert White: Council of the District of Columbia (photo of Robert White), Public domain; Roy Cooper: NetwonsBucket (photo of Roy Cooper), CC BY-SA 4.0; Sam Forstag: Conorhogan16 (photo of Sam Forstag), CC0; Sarah Trone Garriott: Iowa General Assembly (photo of Sarah Trone Garriott), Copyrighted free use; Scott Wiener: California State Senate (photo of Scott Wiener), Public domain; Shawn Harris: National Guard Bureau (photo of Shawn Harris), Public domain; Sherrod Brown: U.S. Senate Photographic Services; Rebecca Hammel (photo of Sherrod Brown), Public domain; Stacey Plaskett: Clerk of the United States House of Representives (photo of Stacey Plaskett), Public domain; Therese Terlaje: Photo by Chief Petty Officer Shannon Smith (photo of Therese Terlaje), Public domain; Tina Kotek: Original: Team Sam Adams Derivative work: Delaywaves (photo of Tina Kotek), CC BY 2.0; Todd Achilles: DL a.k.a. LibertyDad (photo of Todd Achilles), CC BY 3.0; Tom Perriello: Unknown photographer (photo of Tom Perriello), Public domain; Troy Jackson: ArenLeBrun (photo of Troy Jackson), CC0; Wes Moore: Maryland State Government (photo of Wes Moore), CC BY-SA 4.0; William Lawrence: Sabio117 (photo of William Lawrence), CC0; Xavier Becerra: United States Department of Health and Human Services (photo of Xavier Becerra), Public domain; Yolanda Prince: WikiBunny2K1 (photo of Yolanda Prince), CC0.
How these races are decided
- Most votes wins (420 races): the usual rule everywhere not listed below.
- Top-two (63 races: California and Washington): all candidates ran on one primary ballot and the two leaders advanced, whatever their party, so two Democrats (or two Republicans) can meet in November.
- Runoff if no majority (17 races: Georgia and U.S. Virgin Islands): a candidate needs more than half the vote; if no one gets it, the top two meet again in a runoff.
- Ranked-choice (7 races: Alaska, District of Columbia and Maine): voters rank the candidates; if no one has a majority of first choices, the last-place candidate is dropped and those ballots go to their next choice, until someone has a majority.
- All-party ballot (6 races: Louisiana): every candidate, of any party, is on one ballot on November 3; if no one wins a majority, the top two go to a runoff on December 12. (Louisiana had planned separate party primaries for its House races in 2026; they were cancelled after the Supreme Court struck down its map in Louisiana v. Callais, so the state went back to this system. Source: Ballotpedia.).
- Democratic-backed independents (2: Todd Achilles in Idaho, Dan Osborn in Nebraska) are listed with the Democrats, where the Democratic nominee withdrew or the party endorsed them; their party label says so.