2026 midterms · New York · November 3
New York’s 12th District race 2026
Who’s running for U.S. House in New York’s 12th District on November 3, 2026: Micah Lasher (D), Caroline Shinkle (R), Wilneida Negron (For All of Us) and Karen Ortiz (Karen Ortiz line). Open seat, now held by Jerry Nadler (D). Forecasters: Solid D (average of 4).
How to vote in New York: check your registration on New York’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for New York
Next to a Democrat in Congress, $ backing is their backing from the pro-Israel PACs we track, 2016–2026; $0 backing means none. Tap a name for each PAC by year, with FEC links.
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York 12 | Solid D Average of 4; all agree Each forecaster for New York 12
|  Micah Lasher | Caroline Shinkle | Wilneida Negron (For All of Us) Karen Ortiz (Karen Ortiz line) | Open seat · Now held by Jerry Nadler (D) |
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Questions and answers
Who is running for U.S. House in New York’s 12th District in 2026?
On the November 3, 2026 ballot: Micah Lasher (D), Caroline Shinkle (R), Wilneida Negron (For All of Us) and Karen Ortiz (Karen Ortiz line).
When is the 2026 election for U.S. House in New York’s 12th District?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
Who is favored in the 2026 race for U.S. House in New York’s 12th District?
The nonpartisan forecasters we track rate it Solid D on average (4 forecasters; they all agree). These are their ratings, not our prediction.
How do I vote in New York?
Check your registration on New York’s election website and the registration deadlines on Vote.gov; both are linked on this page.
Where this comes from
Candidates as of October 9, 2026, from state election offices, news reports and Ballotpedia’s candidate lists; independent and minor-party candidates may not be complete. Ratings are the average of up to seven nonpartisan forecasters, read from the tables Wikipedia editors keep of them: how we average them and each forecaster’s own pages. Backing is contributions plus outside spending for a candidate by the pro-Israel PACs we track, from FEC filings (method). Results, on election night, only from AP or official sources. Found an error? Tell us.
Photos of members of Congress: official portraits (public domain). Other photos: Micah Lasher: Lance Cpl. Steven Wells (photo of Micah Lasher), Public domain.