2026 results
AIPAC's 2025–26 primary scoreboard
How the candidates backed by AIPAC, United Democracy Project and allied PACs did in the 2025–26 Democratic primaries they spent in.
Every contested 2025–26 Democratic primary where these groups, or super PACs UDP funded, spent $100,000 or more on ads: 18 races. AIPAC's side won 9, lost 8 and had 1 mixed result.
Which races are included, and how wins are scored
Races: every contested Democratic primary for the House or Senate in the 2025–26 cycle, decided by September 8, 2026, where these groups spent at least $100,000 on ads for or against a candidate: United Democracy Project or the other PACs on our tracked list directly, or super PACs that UDP funded with at least 10% of their money (shown as indirect). “Contested” means another Democrat got at least 10% of the vote. Ordinary contributions don’t make a race count: these groups give to most Democratic incumbents, so races where they only gave contributions are listed separately below and not scored. The spending figures come from FEC filings, so anyone can check which races qualify.
“AIPAC’s side”: the candidate these groups backed most (contributions plus supporting ads, direct or indirect). Where they only spent against someone, their side is that candidate’s defeat.
Won: their candidate won or advanced (in top-two states), or the candidate they opposed lost. Lost: the reverse. Mixed: both the candidate they backed and the one they opposed lost to a third candidate.
Race by race
Michigan · U.S. Senate
The most expensive Democratic primary on record. Outside groups including UDP spent to back Stevens; the FEC figures here are UDP and other tracked groups only. Source 1 for Michigan · U.S. Senate Source 2 for Michigan · U.S. Senate Source 3 for Michigan · U.S. Senate Source 4 for Michigan · U.S. Senate
Illinois 7th (open)
Source 1 for Illinois 7th (open) Source 2 for Illinois 7th (open)
Missouri 1st
California 14th (special runoff)
Source 1 for California 14th (special runoff) Source 2 for California 14th (special runoff) Source 3 for California 14th (special runoff)
California 48th (top-two)
Source 1 for California 48th (top-two) Source 2 for California 48th (top-two)
California 22nd (top-two)
EDW Action Fund, a super PAC UDP helped fund, spent for Bains, who finished third; another super PAC spent against Villegas. Source 1 for California 22nd (top-two) Source 2 for California 22nd (top-two)
Texas 35th (runoff)
Vote shares from the Texas Secretary of State's results for the May 26 runoff (all counties reporting). Source 1 for Texas 35th (runoff) Source 2 for Texas 35th (runoff) Source 3 for Texas 35th (runoff) Source 4 for Texas 35th (runoff) Source 5 for Texas 35th (runoff)
New Jersey 11th (special primary)
UDP spent to defeat Malinowski, and he lost, but the winner was Mejia, a progressive these groups didn't back. Source for New Jersey 11th (special primary)
Illinois 8th (open)
Chicago Progressive Partnership, which got 49% of its money from Elect Chicago Women (itself 35% funded by UDP), spent $663,879 against Junaid Ahmed (its FEC reports, committee C00935809). That money is two steps from UDP and isn't counted above. Source 1 for Illinois 8th (open) Source 2 for Illinois 8th (open) Source 3 for Illinois 8th (open)
New York 13th
UDP gave $2.8M to BOLD America. BOLD America's spending in this race is shown above as indirect; the grant itself isn't counted again. United for Progress, a super PAC that got 33% of its money from DMFI PAC, also spent $555,574 backing Espaillat; it is shown on his profile as indirect DMFI money, not counted above. Source 1 for New York 13th Source 2 for New York 13th Source 3 for New York 13th Source 4 for New York 13th
Illinois 9th (open)
UDP gave $4.0M to Elect Chicago Women. Its spending in this race is shown above as indirect; the grant itself isn't counted again. Chicago Progressive Partnership, which got 49% of its money from Elect Chicago Women, spent $1.18M against Kat Abughazaleh and $104,555 backing Bushra Amiwala (its FEC reports, committee C00935809). That money is two steps from UDP and isn't counted above. Source 1 for Illinois 9th (open) Source 2 for Illinois 9th (open) Source 3 for Illinois 9th (open) Source 4 for Illinois 9th (open)
Nebraska 2nd (open)
All spending here was indirect, through super PACs that received roughly 30% of their money from UDP (BOLD America, EDW Action Fund). Source for Nebraska 2nd (open)
Illinois 2nd (open)
UDP gave $1.32M to Affordable Chicago Now, which spent about $4.4M backing Miller. That spending is shown above as indirect; the grant itself isn't counted again. Source 1 for Illinois 2nd (open) Source 2 for Illinois 2nd (open) Source 3 for Illinois 2nd (open) Source 4 for Illinois 2nd (open)
Arizona 1st (open)
All spending here was indirect, through BOLD America, a super PAC UDP helped fund. Source 1 for Arizona 1st (open) Source 2 for Arizona 1st (open) Source 3 for Arizona 1st (open) Source 4 for Arizona 1st (open)
Texas 29th
Spending was indirect, through BOLD America, a super PAC UDP helped fund. Source 1 for Texas 29th Source 2 for Texas 29th
California 41st (top-two)
Spending was indirect, through BOLD America, a super PAC UDP helped fund. Source 1 for California 41st (top-two) Source 2 for California 41st (top-two)
Virginia 11th (2025 special primary)
A party-run special primary (a "firehouse" primary) in June 2025, part of the 2025-26 cycle. The state doesn't count or certify party-run primaries and the Associated Press reported only the winner, so no vote shares are published here. Spending was indirect, through SD PAC, a super PAC UDP helped fund. Source 1 for Virginia 11th (2025 special primary) Source 2 for Virginia 11th (2025 special primary)
Dollar amounts are from FEC filings: money given to or spent supporting a candidate in 2025–26 by the groups we track, and spending against them. Spending by super PACs UDP funded is shown separately as indirect; other money UDP routed that can't be tied to a candidate is described in notes. Results link to their sources.
Not scored: races where they only gave contributions
These candidates had contributions from the tracked groups but no ad spending of $100,000 or more, so the races aren’t counted in the record above. Contributions go to most Democratic incumbents, including many who won contested primaries, so counting only these would skew the record.
- New Jersey 12th (open): Adam Hamawy won. Funded: Brad Cohen ($31.6K in contributions). Source for New Jersey 12th (open)
- New Hampshire 1st (open): Stefany Shaheen won. Funded: Maura Sullivan ($31.4K in contributions). Source for New Hampshire 1st (open)
- New York 10th: Brad Lander won. Funded: Dan Goldman ($202K in contributions). Source for New York 10th
- Michigan 13th: Donavan McKinney won. Funded: Shri Thanedar ($515K in contributions). Source for Michigan 13th
- Colorado 1st: Melat Kiros won. Funded: Diana DeGette ($2,500 in contributions). Source for Colorado 1st
- Minnesota · U.S. Senate: Peggy Flanagan won. Funded: Angie Craig ($257K in contributions). Source for Minnesota · U.S. Senate
Back these nominees in November
2026 Democratic nominees who reject AIPAC money or beat AIPAC-backed candidates, chosen by us: most nominees the tracked PACs haven’t backed aren’t listed here (every race). DSA-endorsed candidates are listed first. The general election is November 3, 2026.
Claire ValdezDSA
New York 7th (open)
Won the open-seat primary with 56%. Rejects AIPAC money.
November: vs. Melvin Rivera (R), Priscilla Ghaznavi (Our Future) · Forecasters: Solid D (average of 4)
Darializa Avila ChevalierDSA
New York 13th
Beat AIPAC-backed Rep. Adriano Espaillat, 49.5% to 45.7%.
November: vs. Jomo Williams (R) · Forecasters: Solid D (average of 4)
Donavan McKinneyDSA
Michigan 13th
Beat Rep. Shri Thanedar, backed by $684K via AIPAC PAC (almost all of it earmarked donations from AIPAC’s donors that it passed on), 51.7% to 47.9% (official results).
November: vs. T.P. Nykoriak (R), Raelyn Light (G), Christopher Dardzinski (U.S. Taxpayers Party), Simone Coleman (Working Class Party) · Forecasters: Solid D (average of 5)
Melat KirosDSA
Colorado 1st
Unseated 15-term Rep. Diana DeGette, 53.2% to 39.8%. Campaigned against AIPAC money.
November: vs. Christy Peterson (R), Shimon Blau (I), Chad Humphrey (L), Critter Milton (Unity Party) · Forecasters: Solid D (average of 5)
Chris RabbDSA
Pennsylvania 3rd (open)
Won the open-seat primary with 44.6%. Endorsed by Track AIPAC.
November: vs. Dennis Mahoney (I) · Forecasters: Solid D (average of 5)
Mai VangDSA
California 7th (vs. Rep. Doris Matsui)
Finished first in the top-two primary ahead of Rep. Matsui, who has been backed by AIPAC PAC. She says she rejects corporate PAC money; endorsed by Track AIPAC. Both finalists are Democrats.
November: vs. Doris Matsui (D, incumbent) · Democrat vs. Democrat (top-two) · Forecasters: Solid D (average of 5)
Angela Gonzales-TorresDSA
California 34th (vs. Rep. Jimmy Gomez)
Advanced to November against Rep. Gomez, one of the ten members most backed by the pro-Israel PACs we track. Says she is "not taking a dime from AIPAC." Both finalists are Democrats.
November: vs. Jimmy Gomez (D, incumbent) · Democrat vs. Democrat (top-two) · Forecasters: Solid D (average of 5)
Rashida TlaibDSAIncumbent
Michigan 12th
Signed the Track AIPAC PEACE Pledge. Renominated with 74%.
November: vs. James D. Hooper (R), Brenda Sanders (G), Marc Joseph Sosnowski (U.S. Taxpayers Party), Gary Walkowicz (Working Class Party) · Forecasters: Solid D (average of 5)
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezDSAIncumbent
New York 14th
Signed the Reject AIPAC pledge. Renominated with 87%.
November: vs. Diamant Hysenaj (R) · Forecasters: Solid D (average of 4)
Abdul El-Sayed
Michigan · U.S. Senate (open)
Beat Rep. Haley Stevens (48.4% to 47.6%) despite the most AIPAC-aligned spending in any 2026 primary. Calls AIPAC donations "legalized bribery."
November: vs. Mike Rogers (R), Douglas P. Marsh (G), Lydia Christensen (L), Walter Kristy (Natural Law Party in Michigan), Timothy Long (U.S. Taxpayers Party) · Forecasters: Lean D (average of 7; range Likely D to Toss-up)
Peggy Flanagan
Minnesota · U.S. Senate (open)
Beat AIPAC PAC-backed Rep. Angie Craig, 59% to 39%. Has said she would reject AIPAC's money.
November: vs. Michele Tafoya (R), Rebecca Whiting (L), Marisa Simonetti (Unaffiliated) · Forecasters: Lean D (average of 7; range Likely D to Lean D)
Brad Lander
New York 10th
Beat AIPAC PAC-backed Rep. Dan Goldman, 66% to 34%. Refused AIPAC money and ran against its influence.
November: vs. Jennifer Moore (R) · Forecasters: Solid D (average of 4)
Aisha WahabIncumbent
California 14th (vs. Melissa Hernandez)
Won the August special election despite $1.64M in UDP spending against her. Faces UDP-backed Hernandez again in November.
November: vs. Melissa Hernandez (D) · Democrat vs. Democrat (top-two) · Solid D (only one party on the ballot)
Randy Villegas
California 22nd (vs. Rep. David Valadao, R)
Advanced despite $500K in DMFI PAC spending against him. Endorsed by Track AIPAC.
November: vs. David Valadao (R, incumbent) · Forecasters: Lean D (average of 7; range Solid D to Toss-up)
Ro KhannaIncumbent
California 17th
Signed the Track AIPAC PEACE Pledge.
November: vs. Ritesh Tandon (R) · Forecasters: Solid D (average of 5)
Delia RamirezIncumbent
Illinois 3rd
Signed the Track AIPAC PEACE Pledge.
November: vs. Angel Oakley (R) · Forecasters: Solid D (average of 4)
Ilhan OmarIncumbent
Minnesota 5th
Longtime AIPAC critic. Renominated with 81%.
November: vs. John Nagel (R), DeVelle Jackson (I) · Forecasters: Solid D (average of 4)
La Shawn Ford
Illinois 7th (open)
Beat Melissa Conyears-Ervin, who had $4.97M in backing from these groups. Says he didn't get AIPAC's backing because he wouldn't support unconditional military aid to Israel.
November: vs. Chad Koppie (R) · Forecasters: Solid D (average of 4)
Analilia MejiaIncumbent
New Jersey 11th
Won the 2026 special election; endorsed by Track AIPAC.
November: vs. Joe Hathaway (R), Alan B. Bond (Hope for Tomorrow) · Forecasters: Solid D (average of 5)
The incoming class to watch
Non-incumbent 2026 nominees these groups have already backed. If they win in November, they’ll be sworn in as incumbents; House winners are up for re-election in 2028. November results are shown here as they're called; they aren't added to the primary scoreboard above, which covers primaries only.
| Nominee | Race | Pro-Israel PAC money, 2026 cycle | Note | November result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Boafo | Maryland 5th | $5,747,395 | Open seat; Hoyer retiring; vs. Chris Chaffee (R); Forecasters: Solid D (average of 4) | Nov. 3 |
| Chris Pappas | New Hampshire · Senate | $265,441 | Open seat; vs. John Sununu (R); Forecasters: Likely D (average of 7; range Likely D to Tilt D) | Nov. 3 |
| Johnny Garcia | Texas 35th | $167,438 | Open seat (redrawn); Forecasters: Toss-up (average of 7; range Lean D to Lean R) | Nov. 3 |
| Melissa Bean | Illinois 8th | $35,382 | Open seat; Forecasters: Solid D (average of 4) | Nov. 3 |
| Roy Cooper | North Carolina · Senate | $9,901 | Open seat; vs. Michael Whatley (R); Forecasters: Likely D (average of 7; range Solid D to Lean D) | Nov. 3 |
| Donna Miller | Illinois 2nd | $9,882 | Open seat; reported $4.4M in indirect AIPAC-aligned spending; Forecasters: Solid D (average of 4) | Nov. 3 |
| Janelle Stelson | Pennsylvania 10th | $7,882 | Challenging Rep. Scott Perry (R); Forecasters: Lean D (average of 7; range Likely D to Toss-up) | Nov. 3 |
| Elaine Luria | Virginia 2nd | $7,882 | Challenging Rep. Jen Kiggans (R); Forecasters: Lean D (average of 7; range Likely D to Toss-up) | Nov. 3 |
| Cait Conley | New York 17th | $5,382 | Challenging Rep. Mike Lawler (R); Forecasters: Toss-up (average of 7; range Lean D to Toss-up) | Nov. 3 |
| Marni von Wilpert | California 48th | $5,333 | Open seat (Issa retiring), redrawn; vs. Jim Desmond (R); Forecasters: Likely D (average of 7; range Solid D to Tilt D) | Nov. 3 |
| Jeremy Moss | Michigan 11th | $3,382 | Open seat; backed by DMFI PAC; Forecasters: Solid D (average of 5) | Nov. 3 |
| Paige Cognetti | Pennsylvania 8th | $2,882 | Challenging Rep. Rob Bresnahan (R); Forecasters: Toss-up (average of 7; range Lean D to Toss-up) | Nov. 3 |
| JoAnna Mendoza | Arizona 6th | $2,500 | Challenging Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R); Forecasters: Lean D (average of 7; range Solid D to Toss-up) | Nov. 3 |
| Rebecca Cooke | Wisconsin 3rd | $2,500 | Challenging Rep. Derrick Van Orden (R); Forecasters: Lean D (average of 7; range Likely D to Toss-up) | Nov. 3 |
| Bobby Pulido | Texas 15th | $2,500 | Challenging Rep. Monica De La Cruz (R); Forecasters: Toss-up (average of 7; range Lean D to Lean R) | Nov. 3 |
| Annie Andrews | South Carolina · Senate | $2,500 | Challenging Sen. Darline Graham (R), appointed July 13, 2026 by Gov. Henry McMaster to fill the vacancy after Sen. Lindsey Graham died (governor.sc.gov announcement, July 13); Forecasters: Lean R (average of 7; range Lean R to Likely R) | Nov. 3 |