2026 midterms · Virginia · November 3

Virginia’s 5th District race 2026

Who’s running for U.S. House in Virginia’s 5th District on November 3, 2026: Tom Perriello (D), John McGuire (R, incumbent) and Cooke Harvey (Independent). Now held by John McGuire (R). Forecasters: Likely R (average of 7; range Lean R to Likely R).

How to vote in Virginia: check your registration on Virginia’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Virginia

Next to a Democrat in Congress, $ backing is their backing from the pro-Israel PACs we track, 2016–2026; $0 backing means none. Tap a name for each PAC by year, with FEC links.

Virginia’s 5th District race 2026 on November 3
RaceRatingDemocratsRepublicansOthers on the ballotNotes
Virginia 5
Likely R
Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R
Each forecaster for Virginia 5
  • Cook Political Report: Likely R (Sep 25, 2026)
  • Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean R (Sep 29, 2026)
  • Inside Elections: Likely R (Oct 1, 2026)
  • Decision Desk HQ: Lean R (Oct 20, 2026)
  • Split Ticket: Likely R (Oct 20, 2026)
  • The Economist: Likely R (Oct 19, 2026)
  • Silver Bulletin: Lean R (Sep 10, 2026)
John McGuire (inc.)
Cooke Harvey (Independent)

Help Democrats across Virginia: Virginia Democratic Party · See it on the map (Virginia)

Questions and answers

Who is running for U.S. House in Virginia’s 5th District in 2026?

On the November 3, 2026 ballot: Tom Perriello (D), John McGuire (R, incumbent) and Cooke Harvey (Independent).

When is the 2026 election for U.S. House in Virginia’s 5th District?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is favored in the 2026 race for U.S. House in Virginia’s 5th District?

The nonpartisan forecasters we track rate it Likely R on average (7 forecasters; their ratings range from Lean R to Likely R). These are their ratings, not our prediction.

How do I vote in Virginia?

Check your registration on Virginia’s election website and the registration deadlines on Vote.gov; both are linked on this page.

Where this comes from

Candidates as of October 9, 2026, from state election offices, news reports and Ballotpedia’s candidate lists; independent and minor-party candidates may not be complete. Ratings are the average of up to seven nonpartisan forecasters, read from the tables Wikipedia editors keep of them: how we average them and each forecaster’s own pages. Backing is contributions plus outside spending for a candidate by the pro-Israel PACs we track, from FEC filings (method). Results, on election night, only from AP or official sources. Found an error? Tell us.

Photos of members of Congress: official portraits (public domain). Other photos: Tom Perriello: Unknown photographer (photo of Tom Perriello), Public domain.