2026 midterms · Texas · November 3
Texas Senate race 2026
Who’s running for U.S. Senate in Texas on November 3, 2026: James Talarico (D), Ken Paxton (R) and Ted Brown (Libertarian). Open seat, now held by John Cornyn (R). Forecasters: Toss-up (average of 7; range Lean D to Toss-up).
How to vote in Texas: check your registration on Texas’ election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Texas
Next to a Democrat in Congress, $ backing is their backing from the pro-Israel PACs we track, 2016–2026; $0 backing means none. Tap a name for each PAC by year, with FEC links.
| Race | Rating | Democrats | Republicans | Others on the ballot | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Senate | Toss-up Average of 7; Lean D to Toss-up Each forecaster for Texas Senate
| Ken Paxton | Ted Brown (Libertarian) | Open seat · Now held by John Cornyn (R) |
Help Democrats across Texas: Texas Democratic Party · See it on the map (Texas)
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Where this comes from
Candidates as of October 9, 2026, from state election offices, news reports and Ballotpedia’s candidate lists; independent and minor-party candidates may not be complete. Ratings are the average of up to seven nonpartisan forecasters, read from the tables Wikipedia editors keep of them: how we average them and each forecaster’s own pages. Backing is contributions plus outside spending for a candidate by the pro-Israel PACs we track, from FEC filings (method). Results, on election night, only from AP or official sources. Found an error? Tell us.
Photos of members of Congress: official portraits (public domain). Other photos: James Talarico: Antonioaesparza (photo of James Talarico), CC BY-SA 4.0.