2026 midterms · Texas · November 3

Texas’ 31st District race 2026

Who’s running for U.S. House in Texas’ 31st District on November 3, 2026: Justin Early (D), John Carter (R, incumbent) and Greg Stoker (Green). Now held by John Carter (R). Forecasters: Solid R (average of 5).

How to vote in Texas: check your registration on Texas’ election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Texas

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Texas’ 31st District race 2026 on November 3
RaceRatingDemocratsRepublicansOthers on the ballotNotes
Texas 31
Solid R
Average of 5; all agree
Each forecaster for Texas 31
  • Cook Political Report: Solid R (Feb 6, 2025)
  • Sabato's Crystal Ball: Solid R (Sep 18, 2025)
  • Inside Elections: Solid R (Mar 7, 2025)
  • Decision Desk HQ: Solid R (Oct 20, 2026)
  • Silver Bulletin: Solid R (Aug 20, 2026)
John Carter (inc.)
Greg Stoker (Green)

Help Democrats across Texas: Texas Democratic Party · See it on the map (Texas)

Questions and answers

Who is running for U.S. House in Texas’ 31st District in 2026?

On the November 3, 2026 ballot: Justin Early (D), John Carter (R, incumbent) and Greg Stoker (Green).

When is the 2026 election for U.S. House in Texas’ 31st District?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is favored in the 2026 race for U.S. House in Texas’ 31st District?

The nonpartisan forecasters we track rate it Solid R on average (5 forecasters; they all agree). These are their ratings, not our prediction.

How do I vote in Texas?

Check your registration on Texas’ election website and the registration deadlines on Vote.gov; both are linked on this page.

Where this comes from

Candidates as of October 9, 2026, from state election offices, news reports and Ballotpedia’s candidate lists; independent and minor-party candidates may not be complete. Ratings are the average of up to seven nonpartisan forecasters, read from the tables Wikipedia editors keep of them: how we average them and each forecaster’s own pages. Backing is contributions plus outside spending for a candidate by the pro-Israel PACs we track, from FEC filings (method). Results, on election night, only from AP or official sources. Found an error? Tell us.