2026 midterms · Florida · November 3

Florida’s 4th District race 2026

Who’s running for U.S. House in Florida’s 4th District on November 3, 2026: LaShonda Holloway (D), Aaron Bean (R, incumbent), Mike Sell (Florida Forward) and Todd Schaefer (No Party Affiliation). Now held by Aaron Bean (R). Forecasters: Likely R (average of 7; range Lean R to Solid R).

How to vote in Florida: check your registration on Florida’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Florida

Next to a Democrat in Congress, $ backing is their backing from the pro-Israel PACs we track, 2016–2026; $0 backing means none. Tap a name for each PAC by year, with FEC links.

Florida’s 4th District race 2026 on November 3
RaceRatingDemocratsRepublicansOthers on the ballotNotes
Florida 4
Likely R
Average of 7; Lean R to Solid R
Each forecaster for Florida 4
  • Cook Political Report: Solid R (Feb 6, 2025)
  • Sabato's Crystal Ball: Solid R (Apr 10, 2025)
  • Inside Elections: Solid R (May 5, 2026)
  • Decision Desk HQ: Lean R (Oct 21, 2026)
  • Split Ticket: Likely R (Oct 20, 2026)
  • The Economist: Likely R (May 6, 2026)
  • Silver Bulletin: Likely R (Sep 10, 2026)
Aaron Bean (inc.)
Mike Sell (Florida Forward)
Todd Schaefer (No Party Affiliation)

Help Democrats across Florida: Florida Democratic Party · See it on the map (Florida)

Questions and answers

Who is running for U.S. House in Florida’s 4th District in 2026?

On the November 3, 2026 ballot: LaShonda Holloway (D), Aaron Bean (R, incumbent), Mike Sell (Florida Forward) and Todd Schaefer (No Party Affiliation).

When is the 2026 election for U.S. House in Florida’s 4th District?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is favored in the 2026 race for U.S. House in Florida’s 4th District?

The nonpartisan forecasters we track rate it Likely R on average (7 forecasters; their ratings range from Lean R to Solid R). These are their ratings, not our prediction.

How do I vote in Florida?

Check your registration on Florida’s election website and the registration deadlines on Vote.gov; both are linked on this page.

Where this comes from

Candidates as of October 9, 2026, from state election offices, news reports and Ballotpedia’s candidate lists; independent and minor-party candidates may not be complete. Ratings are the average of up to seven nonpartisan forecasters, read from the tables Wikipedia editors keep of them: how we average them and each forecaster’s own pages. Backing is contributions plus outside spending for a candidate by the pro-Israel PACs we track, from FEC filings (method). Results, on election night, only from AP or official sources. Found an error? Tell us.