2026 midterms · Florida · November 3

Florida Senate special election 2026

Who’s running for U.S. Senate in Florida on November 3, 2026: Angie Nixon (D), Ashley Moody (R, incumbent) and Neil Gillespie (No Party Affiliation). Now held by Ashley Moody (R). Forecasters: Likely R (average of 7; range Likely R to Solid R).

How to vote in Florida: check your registration on Florida’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Florida

Next to a Democrat in Congress, $ backing is their backing from the pro-Israel PACs we track, 2016–2026; $0 backing means none. Tap a name for each PAC by year, with FEC links.

Florida Senate special election 2026 on November 3
RaceRatingDemocratsRepublicansOthers on the ballotNotes
Florida Senate (special)
Likely R
Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R
Each forecaster for Florida Senate (special)
  • Cook Political Report: Solid R (Oct 6, 2026)
  • Sabato's Crystal Ball: Solid R (Oct 14, 2026)
  • Inside Elections: Likely R (Oct 15, 2026)
  • Decision Desk HQ: Likely R (Oct 19, 2026)
  • Split Ticket: Likely R (Oct 19, 2026)
  • The Economist: Likely R (Oct 19, 2026)
  • Silver Bulletin: Likely R (Oct 19, 2026)
Ashley Moody (inc.)
Neil Gillespie (No Party Affiliation)
Now held by Ashley Moody (R)

Help Democrats across Florida: Florida Democratic Party · See it on the map (Florida)

Where this comes from

Candidates as of October 9, 2026, from state election offices, news reports and Ballotpedia’s candidate lists; independent and minor-party candidates may not be complete. Ratings are the average of up to seven nonpartisan forecasters, read from the tables Wikipedia editors keep of them: how we average them and each forecaster’s own pages. Backing is contributions plus outside spending for a candidate by the pro-Israel PACs we track, from FEC filings (method). Results, on election night, only from AP or official sources. Found an error? Tell us.

Photos of members of Congress: official portraits (public domain). Other photos: Angie Nixon: Florida House of Representatives (photo of Angie Nixon), Public domain.