2026 midterms · New York · November 3

New York’s 4th District race 2026

Who’s running for U.S. House in New York’s 4th District on November 3, 2026: Laura Gillen (D, incumbent), Jeanine Driscoll (R) and Blay Tarnoff (Libertarian Party). Now held by Laura Gillen (D). Forecasters: Likely D (average of 7; range Solid D to Tilt D). Laura Gillen has been backed with $420,907 by the pro-Israel PACs we track (2016–2026).

How to vote in New York: check your registration on New York’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for New York

Next to a Democrat in Congress, $ backing is their backing from the pro-Israel PACs we track, 2016–2026; $0 backing means none. Tap a name for each PAC by year, with FEC links.

New York’s 4th District race 2026 on November 3
RaceRatingDemocratsRepublicansOthers on the ballotNotes
New York 4
Likely D
Average of 7; Solid D to Tilt D
Each forecaster for New York 4
  • Cook Political Report: Likely D (Oct 9, 2026)
  • Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely D (Oct 20, 2026)
  • Inside Elections: Tilt D (Mar 7, 2025)
  • Decision Desk HQ: Likely D (Jul 14, 2026)
  • Split Ticket: Solid D (Oct 20, 2026)
  • The Economist: Solid D (Oct 19, 2026)
  • Silver Bulletin: Solid D (Sep 10, 2026)
Jeanine Driscoll
Blay Tarnoff (Libertarian Party)

Help Democrats across New York: New York Democratic Party · See it on the map (New York)

Questions and answers

Who is running for U.S. House in New York’s 4th District in 2026?

On the November 3, 2026 ballot: Laura Gillen (D, incumbent), Jeanine Driscoll (R) and Blay Tarnoff (Libertarian Party).

When is the 2026 election for U.S. House in New York’s 4th District?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is favored in the 2026 race for U.S. House in New York’s 4th District?

The nonpartisan forecasters we track rate it Likely D on average (7 forecasters; their ratings range from Solid D to Tilt D). These are their ratings, not our prediction.

Has AIPAC or an allied PAC backed the Democrat in this race?

Laura Gillen has been backed with $420,907 by the pro-Israel PACs we track (2016–2026).

How do I vote in New York?

Check your registration on New York’s election website and the registration deadlines on Vote.gov; both are linked on this page.

Where this comes from

Candidates as of October 9, 2026, from state election offices, news reports and Ballotpedia’s candidate lists; independent and minor-party candidates may not be complete. Ratings are the average of up to seven nonpartisan forecasters, read from the tables Wikipedia editors keep of them: how we average them and each forecaster’s own pages. Backing is contributions plus outside spending for a candidate by the pro-Israel PACs we track, from FEC filings (method). Results, on election night, only from AP or official sources. Found an error? Tell us.