2026 midterms · California · November 3

California’s 21st District race 2026

Who’s running for U.S. House in California’s 21st District on November 3, 2026: Jim Costa (D, incumbent) and Kyle Kirkland (R). Now held by Jim Costa (D). Forecasters: Solid D (average of 7; range Solid D to Likely D). Jim Costa has been backed with $311,403 by the pro-Israel PACs we track (2016–2026).

How to vote in California: check your registration on California’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for California

Next to a Democrat in Congress, $ backing is their backing from the pro-Israel PACs we track, 2016–2026; $0 backing means none. Tap a name for each PAC by year, with FEC links.

California’s 21st District race 2026 on November 3
RaceRatingDemocratsRepublicansOthers on the ballotNotes
California 21
Solid D
Average of 7; Solid D to Likely D
Each forecaster for California 21
  • Cook Political Report: Likely D (Nov 5, 2025)
  • Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely D (Nov 5, 2025)
  • Inside Elections: Solid D (Aug 20, 2026)
  • Decision Desk HQ: Solid D (Oct 1, 2026)
  • Split Ticket: Solid D (Oct 20, 2026)
  • The Economist: Solid D (May 6, 2026)
  • Silver Bulletin: Solid D (Sep 10, 2026)
Jim Costa (inc.) $311,403 backing
Kyle Kirkland
No one else listedTop-two

Help Democrats across California: California Democratic Party · See it on the map (California)

Questions and answers

Who is running for U.S. House in California’s 21st District in 2026?

On the November 3, 2026 ballot: Jim Costa (D, incumbent) and Kyle Kirkland (R).

When is the 2026 election for U.S. House in California’s 21st District?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026. The two leaders of the primary advanced, whatever their party.

Who is favored in the 2026 race for U.S. House in California’s 21st District?

The nonpartisan forecasters we track rate it Solid D on average (7 forecasters; their ratings range from Solid D to Likely D). These are their ratings, not our prediction.

Has AIPAC or an allied PAC backed the Democrat in this race?

Jim Costa has been backed with $311,403 by the pro-Israel PACs we track (2016–2026).

How do I vote in California?

Check your registration on California’s election website and the registration deadlines on Vote.gov; both are linked on this page.

Where this comes from

Candidates as of October 9, 2026, from state election offices, news reports and Ballotpedia’s candidate lists; independent and minor-party candidates may not be complete. Ratings are the average of up to seven nonpartisan forecasters, read from the tables Wikipedia editors keep of them: how we average them and each forecaster’s own pages. Backing is contributions plus outside spending for a candidate by the pro-Israel PACs we track, from FEC filings (method). Results, on election night, only from AP or official sources. Found an error? Tell us.