2026 midterms · California · November 3

California’s 5th District race 2026

Who’s running for U.S. House in California’s 5th District on November 3, 2026: Michael Masuda (D) and Tom McClintock (R, incumbent). Now held by Tom McClintock (R). Forecasters: Solid R (average of 7; range Likely R to Solid R).

How to vote in California: check your registration on California’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for California

Next to a Democrat in Congress, $ backing is their backing from the pro-Israel PACs we track, 2016–2026; $0 backing means none. Tap a name for each PAC by year, with FEC links.

California’s 5th District race 2026 on November 3
RaceRatingDemocratsRepublicansOthers on the ballotNotes
California 5
Solid R
Average of 7; Likely R to Solid R
Each forecaster for California 5
  • Cook Political Report: Solid R (Nov 5, 2025)
  • Sabato's Crystal Ball: Solid R (Jul 15, 2025)
  • Inside Elections: Solid R (Mar 7, 2025)
  • Decision Desk HQ: Likely R (Sep 8, 2026)
  • Split Ticket: Solid R (Oct 20, 2026)
  • The Economist: Solid R (May 6, 2026)
  • Silver Bulletin: Solid R (Sep 10, 2026)
Tom McClintock (inc.)
No one else listedTop-two

Help Democrats across California: California Democratic Party · See it on the map (California)

Questions and answers

Who is running for U.S. House in California’s 5th District in 2026?

On the November 3, 2026 ballot: Michael Masuda (D) and Tom McClintock (R, incumbent).

When is the 2026 election for U.S. House in California’s 5th District?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026. The two leaders of the primary advanced, whatever their party.

Who is favored in the 2026 race for U.S. House in California’s 5th District?

The nonpartisan forecasters we track rate it Solid R on average (7 forecasters; their ratings range from Likely R to Solid R). These are their ratings, not our prediction.

How do I vote in California?

Check your registration on California’s election website and the registration deadlines on Vote.gov; both are linked on this page.

Where this comes from

Candidates as of October 9, 2026, from state election offices, news reports and Ballotpedia’s candidate lists; independent and minor-party candidates may not be complete. Ratings are the average of up to seven nonpartisan forecasters, read from the tables Wikipedia editors keep of them: how we average them and each forecaster’s own pages. Backing is contributions plus outside spending for a candidate by the pro-Israel PACs we track, from FEC filings (method). Results, on election night, only from AP or official sources. Found an error? Tell us.