2026 midterms · Minnesota · November 3

Minnesota Senate race 2026

Who’s running for U.S. Senate in Minnesota on November 3, 2026: Peggy Flanagan (D), Michele Tafoya (R), Rebecca Whiting (Libertarian) and Marisa Simonetti (Unaffiliated). Open seat, now held by Tina Smith (D). Forecasters: Lean D (average of 7; range Likely D to Lean D).

How to vote in Minnesota: check your registration on Minnesota’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Minnesota

Next to a Democrat in Congress, $ backing is their backing from the pro-Israel PACs we track, 2016–2026; $0 backing means none. Tap a name for each PAC by year, with FEC links.

Minnesota Senate race 2026 on November 3
RaceRatingDemocratsRepublicansOthers on the ballotNotes
Minnesota Senate
Lean D
Average of 7; Likely D to Lean D
Each forecaster for Minnesota Senate
  • Cook Political Report: Lean D (Oct 20, 2026)
  • Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D (Oct 14, 2026)
  • Inside Elections: Lean D (Oct 15, 2026)
  • Decision Desk HQ: Likely D (Oct 19, 2026)
  • Split Ticket: Likely D (Oct 19, 2026)
  • The Economist: Lean D (Oct 19, 2026)
  • Silver Bulletin: Likely D (Oct 19, 2026)
Michele Tafoya
Rebecca Whiting (Libertarian)
Marisa Simonetti (Unaffiliated)
Open seat · Now held by Tina Smith (D)

Help Democrats across Minnesota: Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party · See it on the map (Minnesota)

Where this comes from

Candidates as of October 9, 2026, from state election offices, news reports and Ballotpedia’s candidate lists; independent and minor-party candidates may not be complete. Ratings are the average of up to seven nonpartisan forecasters, read from the tables Wikipedia editors keep of them: how we average them and each forecaster’s own pages. Backing is contributions plus outside spending for a candidate by the pro-Israel PACs we track, from FEC filings (method). Results, on election night, only from AP or official sources. Found an error? Tell us.

Photos of members of Congress: official portraits (public domain). Other photos: Peggy Flanagan: Travellers & Tinkers (photo of Peggy Flanagan), CC BY-SA 4.0.