2026 midterms · Ohio · November 3

Ohio’s 15th District race 2026

Who’s running for U.S. House in Ohio’s 15th District on November 3, 2026: Don Leonard (D), Mike Carey (R, incumbent) and Brennan Barrington (Libertarian). Now held by Mike Carey (R). Forecasters: Likely R (average of 7; range Lean R to Likely R).

How to vote in Ohio: check your registration on Ohio’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Ohio

Next to a Democrat in Congress, $ backing is their backing from the pro-Israel PACs we track, 2016–2026; $0 backing means none. Tap a name for each PAC by year, with FEC links.

Ohio’s 15th District race 2026 on November 3
RaceRatingDemocratsRepublicansOthers on the ballotNotes
Ohio 15
Likely R
Average of 7; Lean R to Likely R
Each forecaster for Ohio 15
  • Cook Political Report: Lean R (Oct 16, 2026)
  • Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely R (Sep 29, 2026)
  • Inside Elections: Likely R (Oct 1, 2026)
  • Decision Desk HQ: Likely R (Jul 14, 2026)
  • Split Ticket: Likely R (Oct 20, 2026)
  • The Economist: Lean R (Apr 24, 2026)
  • Silver Bulletin: Likely R (Sep 10, 2026)
Mike Carey (inc.)
Brennan Barrington (Libertarian)

Help Democrats across Ohio: Ohio Democratic Party · See it on the map (Ohio)

Questions and answers

Who is running for U.S. House in Ohio’s 15th District in 2026?

On the November 3, 2026 ballot: Don Leonard (D), Mike Carey (R, incumbent) and Brennan Barrington (Libertarian).

When is the 2026 election for U.S. House in Ohio’s 15th District?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is favored in the 2026 race for U.S. House in Ohio’s 15th District?

The nonpartisan forecasters we track rate it Likely R on average (7 forecasters; their ratings range from Lean R to Likely R). These are their ratings, not our prediction.

How do I vote in Ohio?

Check your registration on Ohio’s election website and the registration deadlines on Vote.gov; both are linked on this page.

Where this comes from

Candidates as of October 9, 2026, from state election offices, news reports and Ballotpedia’s candidate lists; independent and minor-party candidates may not be complete. Ratings are the average of up to seven nonpartisan forecasters, read from the tables Wikipedia editors keep of them: how we average them and each forecaster’s own pages. Backing is contributions plus outside spending for a candidate by the pro-Israel PACs we track, from FEC filings (method). Results, on election night, only from AP or official sources. Found an error? Tell us.