2026 midterms · Hawaii · November 3

Hawaii’s 1st District race 2026

Who’s running for U.S. House in Hawaii’s 1st District on November 3, 2026: Ed Case (D, incumbent), Adriel Lam (R), Jordan Conley (Green) and Nathan Berning (Nonpartisan). Now held by Ed Case (D). Forecasters: Solid D (average of 5). Ed Case has been backed with $80,859 by the pro-Israel PACs we track (2016–2026).

How to vote in Hawaii: check your registration on Hawaii’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Hawaii

Next to a Democrat in Congress, $ backing is their backing from the pro-Israel PACs we track, 2016–2026; $0 backing means none. Tap a name for each PAC by year, with FEC links.

Hawaii’s 1st District race 2026 on November 3
RaceRatingDemocratsRepublicansOthers on the ballotNotes
Hawaii 1
Solid D
Average of 5; all agree
Each forecaster for Hawaii 1
  • Cook Political Report: Solid D (Feb 6, 2025)
  • Sabato's Crystal Ball: Solid D (Jul 15, 2025)
  • Inside Elections: Solid D (Mar 7, 2025)
  • Decision Desk HQ: Solid D (Jul 14, 2026)
  • Silver Bulletin: Solid D (Aug 20, 2026)
Ed Case (inc.) $80,859 backing
Adriel Lam
Jordan Conley (Green)
Nathan Berning (Nonpartisan)

Help Democrats across Hawaii: Hawaii Democratic Party · See it on the map (Hawaii)

Questions and answers

Who is running for U.S. House in Hawaii’s 1st District in 2026?

On the November 3, 2026 ballot: Ed Case (D, incumbent), Adriel Lam (R), Jordan Conley (Green) and Nathan Berning (Nonpartisan).

When is the 2026 election for U.S. House in Hawaii’s 1st District?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is favored in the 2026 race for U.S. House in Hawaii’s 1st District?

The nonpartisan forecasters we track rate it Solid D on average (5 forecasters; they all agree). These are their ratings, not our prediction.

Has AIPAC or an allied PAC backed the Democrat in this race?

Ed Case has been backed with $80,859 by the pro-Israel PACs we track (2016–2026).

How do I vote in Hawaii?

Check your registration on Hawaii’s election website and the registration deadlines on Vote.gov; both are linked on this page.

Where this comes from

Candidates as of October 9, 2026, from state election offices, news reports and Ballotpedia’s candidate lists; independent and minor-party candidates may not be complete. Ratings are the average of up to seven nonpartisan forecasters, read from the tables Wikipedia editors keep of them: how we average them and each forecaster’s own pages. Backing is contributions plus outside spending for a candidate by the pro-Israel PACs we track, from FEC filings (method). Results, on election night, only from AP or official sources. Found an error? Tell us.