2026 midterms · Missouri · November 3

Missouri’s 2nd District race 2026

Who’s running for U.S. House in Missouri’s 2nd District on November 3, 2026: Fred Wellman (D), Ann Wagner (R, incumbent) and Brandon Daugherty (Libertarian). Now held by Ann Wagner (R). Forecasters: Likely R (average of 7; range Toss-up to Solid R).

How to vote in Missouri: check your registration on Missouri’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Missouri

Next to a Democrat in Congress, $ backing is their backing from the pro-Israel PACs we track, 2016–2026; $0 backing means none. Tap a name for each PAC by year, with FEC links.

Missouri’s 2nd District race 2026 on November 3
RaceRatingDemocratsRepublicansOthers on the ballotNotes
Missouri 2
Likely R
Average of 7; Toss-up to Solid R
Each forecaster for Missouri 2
  • Cook Political Report: Likely R (Sep 11, 2026)
  • Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean R (Sep 29, 2026)
  • Inside Elections: Solid R (Mar 7, 2025)
  • Decision Desk HQ: Likely R (Jul 14, 2026)
  • Split Ticket: Lean R (Oct 20, 2026)
  • The Economist: Toss-up (Oct 19, 2026)
  • Silver Bulletin: Likely R (Sep 10, 2026)
Ann Wagner (inc.)
Brandon Daugherty (Libertarian)

Help Democrats across Missouri: Missouri Democratic Party · See it on the map (Missouri)

Questions and answers

Who is running for U.S. House in Missouri’s 2nd District in 2026?

On the November 3, 2026 ballot: Fred Wellman (D), Ann Wagner (R, incumbent) and Brandon Daugherty (Libertarian).

When is the 2026 election for U.S. House in Missouri’s 2nd District?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is favored in the 2026 race for U.S. House in Missouri’s 2nd District?

The nonpartisan forecasters we track rate it Likely R on average (7 forecasters; their ratings range from Toss-up to Solid R). These are their ratings, not our prediction.

How do I vote in Missouri?

Check your registration on Missouri’s election website and the registration deadlines on Vote.gov; both are linked on this page.

Where this comes from

Candidates as of October 9, 2026, from state election offices, news reports and Ballotpedia’s candidate lists; independent and minor-party candidates may not be complete. Ratings are the average of up to seven nonpartisan forecasters, read from the tables Wikipedia editors keep of them: how we average them and each forecaster’s own pages. Backing is contributions plus outside spending for a candidate by the pro-Israel PACs we track, from FEC filings (method). Results, on election night, only from AP or official sources. Found an error? Tell us.

Photos of members of Congress: official portraits (public domain). Other photos: Fred Wellman: Germanna CC (photo of Fred Wellman), CC BY 2.0.