2026 midterms · Montana · November 3

Montana’s 1st District race 2026

Who’s running for U.S. House in Montana’s 1st District on November 3, 2026: Sam Forstag (D), Aaron Flint (R) and Nick Sheedy (Libertarian). Open seat, now held by Ryan Zinke (R). Forecasters: Lean R (average of 7; range Toss-up to Lean R).

How to vote in Montana: check your registration on Montana’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Montana

Next to a Democrat in Congress, $ backing is their backing from the pro-Israel PACs we track, 2016–2026; $0 backing means none. Tap a name for each PAC by year, with FEC links.

Montana’s 1st District race 2026 on November 3
RaceRatingDemocratsRepublicansOthers on the ballotNotes
Montana 1
Lean R
Average of 7; Toss-up to Lean R
Each forecaster for Montana 1
  • Cook Political Report: Toss-up (Oct 16, 2026)
  • Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean R (Sep 29, 2026)
  • Inside Elections: Tilt R (Oct 15, 2026)
  • Decision Desk HQ: Lean R (Jul 14, 2026)
  • Split Ticket: Lean R (Oct 20, 2026)
  • The Economist: Toss-up (Oct 19, 2026)
  • Silver Bulletin: Lean R (Sep 10, 2026)
Aaron Flint
Nick Sheedy (Libertarian)
Open seat · Now held by Ryan Zinke (R)

Help Democrats across Montana: Montana Democratic Party · See it on the map (Montana)

Questions and answers

Who is running for U.S. House in Montana’s 1st District in 2026?

On the November 3, 2026 ballot: Sam Forstag (D), Aaron Flint (R) and Nick Sheedy (Libertarian).

When is the 2026 election for U.S. House in Montana’s 1st District?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is favored in the 2026 race for U.S. House in Montana’s 1st District?

The nonpartisan forecasters we track rate it Lean R on average (7 forecasters; their ratings range from Toss-up to Lean R). These are their ratings, not our prediction.

How do I vote in Montana?

Check your registration on Montana’s election website and the registration deadlines on Vote.gov; both are linked on this page.

Where this comes from

Candidates as of October 9, 2026, from state election offices, news reports and Ballotpedia’s candidate lists; independent and minor-party candidates may not be complete. Ratings are the average of up to seven nonpartisan forecasters, read from the tables Wikipedia editors keep of them: how we average them and each forecaster’s own pages. Backing is contributions plus outside spending for a candidate by the pro-Israel PACs we track, from FEC filings (method). Results, on election night, only from AP or official sources. Found an error? Tell us.

Photos of members of Congress: official portraits (public domain). Other photos: Sam Forstag: Conorhogan16 (photo of Sam Forstag), CC0.