2026 midterms · Kentucky · November 3

Kentucky’s 3rd District race 2026

Who’s running for U.S. House in Kentucky’s 3rd District on November 3, 2026: Morgan McGarvey (D, incumbent) and Maria Teresa Rodriguez (R). Now held by Morgan McGarvey (D). Forecasters: Solid D (average of 4). Morgan McGarvey has been backed with $147,640 by the pro-Israel PACs we track (2016–2026).

How to vote in Kentucky: check your registration on Kentucky’s election website · deadlines on Vote.gov for Kentucky

Next to a Democrat in Congress, $ backing is their backing from the pro-Israel PACs we track, 2016–2026; $0 backing means none. Tap a name for each PAC by year, with FEC links.

Kentucky’s 3rd District race 2026 on November 3
RaceRatingDemocratsRepublicansOthers on the ballotNotes
Kentucky 3
Solid D
Average of 4; all agree
Each forecaster for Kentucky 3
  • Cook Political Report: Solid D (Feb 6, 2025)
  • Sabato's Crystal Ball: Solid D (Jun 3, 2025)
  • Inside Elections: Solid D (Mar 7, 2025)
  • Decision Desk HQ: Solid D (Jul 14, 2026)
Maria Teresa Rodriguez
No one else listed

Help Democrats across Kentucky: Kentucky Democratic Party · See it on the map (Kentucky)

Questions and answers

Who is running for U.S. House in Kentucky’s 3rd District in 2026?

On the November 3, 2026 ballot: Morgan McGarvey (D, incumbent) and Maria Teresa Rodriguez (R).

When is the 2026 election for U.S. House in Kentucky’s 3rd District?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is favored in the 2026 race for U.S. House in Kentucky’s 3rd District?

The nonpartisan forecasters we track rate it Solid D on average (4 forecasters; they all agree). These are their ratings, not our prediction.

Has AIPAC or an allied PAC backed the Democrat in this race?

Morgan McGarvey has been backed with $147,640 by the pro-Israel PACs we track (2016–2026).

How do I vote in Kentucky?

Check your registration on Kentucky’s election website and the registration deadlines on Vote.gov; both are linked on this page.

Where this comes from

Candidates as of October 9, 2026, from state election offices, news reports and Ballotpedia’s candidate lists; independent and minor-party candidates may not be complete. Ratings are the average of up to seven nonpartisan forecasters, read from the tables Wikipedia editors keep of them: how we average them and each forecaster’s own pages. Backing is contributions plus outside spending for a candidate by the pro-Israel PACs we track, from FEC filings (method). Results, on election night, only from AP or official sources. Found an error? Tell us.